CHICAGO STATE
COUGARSCHST
2-13 | Road
63
FAIRLEIGH DICKINSON
KNIGHTSFDU
4-11 | Home
70
AI Model Win Probability
COUGARS
100%
KNIGHTS
0%
COUGARS
--
KNIGHTS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
184.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-6.0
FAIRLEIGH DICKINSON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +6.0 points (Fairleigh Dickinson)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around FDU -6.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (FDU)
CHST By 1-7 points
16.9%
CHST By 8-14 points
6.8%
FDU By 1-7 points
26.8%
FDU By 8-14 points
24.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Chicago State
89
CHICAGO STATE
Fairleigh Dickinson
95
FAIRLEIGH DICKINSON
Simulated Score
Chicago State
63
CHICAGO STATE
Fairleigh Dickinson
75
FAIRLEIGH DICKINSON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Knights
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Knights
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Knights (-3.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Sim
Knights (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -12.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o143.5
Loss
Proj Total: 184.0
D
Sim
u143.5
Win
Proj Total: 138.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 19, 2026
FDU @ CHST
60 - 59
Jan 8, 2026
CHST @ FDU
63 - 70
Feb 13, 2025
CHST @ FDU
49 - 91
Jan 20, 2025
FDU @ CHST
58 - 48
Jan 10, 2024
CHST @ FDU
75 - 74
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5)
+28.5% more
Fairleigh Dickinson: 11.6
vs
Chicago State: 9.0
Assists (L5)
+20.4% more
Fairleigh Dickinson: 12.5
vs
Chicago State: 10.4
Field Goal % (L5)
+8.5%
Fairleigh Dickinson: 43.7%
vs
Chicago State: 35.2%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+4.2%
Fairleigh Dickinson: 32.2%
vs
Chicago State: 28.0%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CHST Score
89.0
63
FDU Score
95.0
70
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
32.2 / 28.0
29.0 / 39.0
Assists
12.5 / 10.4
10.0 / 6.0
Blocks
1.1 / 1.5
2.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
43.7 / 35.2
38.0 / 41.0
Free Throw %
72.2 / 77.2
74.0 / 82.0
Rebounding
33.2 / 33.5
39.0 / 26.0
Steals
4.3 / 9.0
5.0 / 8.0
Turnovers
11.6 / 9.0
14.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CHST
7-25-0
(21.9%)
Margin: -10.3
ATS +/-: +0.4
FDU
Advantage
11-21-0
(34.4%)
Margin: -3.0
ATS +/-: -1.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CHST
Advantage
15-15-1
(50.0%)
Margin: -10.3
ATS +/-: +0.4
FDU
10-18-1
(35.7%)
Margin: -3.0
ATS +/-: -1.6
⚖️ Over/Under
CHST
15-16-0
O: 48.4% / U: 51.6%
Total +/-: -0.5
FDU
9-20-0
O: 31.0% / U: 69.0%
Total +/-: -2.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
FDU
CHST
FDU
CHST
ML
65%
20-11
75%
24-8
74%
23-8
73%
22-8
ATS
68%
21-10
69%
22-10
74%
23-8
73%
22-8
TTL
58%
18-13
44%
14-18
100%
31-0
100%
30-0
Contextual Game News
K-State vs Houston: Week 6 Showdown with Big 12 Title Implicatio…
Rutgers Men's Basketball Releases Full 2026-27 Schedule with TV …
Houston Cougars Set for Road Test Against Kansas State in Big 12…
Houston Cougars Erase 17-Point Deficit to Stun UCF in Space Game
Houston Cougars Set for Nationally Televised Road Battle at Kans…