FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL
PANTHERSFIU
9-5 | Road
64
JACKSONVILLE STATE
GAMECOCKSJXST
7-7 | Home
71
AI Model Win Probability
PANTHERS
100%
GAMECOCKS
0%
PANTHERS
--
GAMECOCKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
136.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-12.0
JACKSONVILLE STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +12.0 points (Jacksonville State)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around JXST -12.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (JXST)
FIU By 1-7 points
8.0%
FIU By 8-14 points
2.2%
JXST By 1-7 points
20.1%
JXST By 8-14 points
27.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Florida International
62
FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL
Jacksonville State
74
JACKSONVILLE STATE
Simulated Score
Florida International
68
FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL
Jacksonville State
72
JACKSONVILLE STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Gamecocks
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Gamecocks
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Gamecocks (-1.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -12.0
D
Sim
Gamecocks (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u150.5
Win
Proj Total: 136.0
D
Sim
u150.5
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 28, 2026
JXST @ FIU
78 - 74
Jan 7, 2026
FIU @ JXST
64 - 71
Mar 12, 2025
FIU @ JXST
56 - 65
Mar 1, 2025
JXST @ FIU
84 - 79
Jan 30, 2025
FIU @ JXST
67 - 71
Key Model Drivers
Free Throw % (L5)
+5.3%
Jacksonville State: 73.8%
vs
Florida International: 68.5%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+4.1%
Jacksonville State: 36.5%
vs
Florida International: 32.4%
Steals (L5)
+37.2% more
Florida International: 8.0
vs
Jacksonville State: 5.0
Assists (L5)
+36.4% more
Florida International: 16.6
vs
Jacksonville State: 10.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
FIU Score
62.0
64
JXST Score
74.0
71
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
36.5 / 32.4
42.0 / 27.0
Assists
10.5 / 16.6
18.0 / 10.0
Blocks
3.8 / 5.3
4.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
45.2 / 51.0
49.0 / 45.0
Free Throw %
73.8 / 68.5
75.0 / 84.0
Rebounding
34.0 / 40.9
33.0 / 21.0
Steals
5.0 / 8.0
9.0 / 8.0
Turnovers
11.3 / 13.2
16.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
FIU
15-17-0
(46.9%)
Margin: 2.8
ATS +/-: +1.2
JXST
15-17-0
(46.9%)
Margin: 4.3
ATS +/-: -0.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
FIU
Advantage
16-13-0
(55.2%)
Margin: 2.8
ATS +/-: +1.2
JXST
13-15-1
(46.4%)
Margin: 4.3
ATS +/-: -0.1
⚖️ Over/Under
FIU
15-13-1
O: 53.6% / U: 46.4%
Total +/-: +1.8
JXST
17-11-1
O: 60.7% / U: 39.3%
Total +/-: +0.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
JXST
FIU
JXST
FIU
ML
50%
16-16
58%
18-13
55%
17-14
65%
20-11
ATS
62%
20-12
52%
16-15
55%
17-14
65%
20-11
TTL
62%
20-12
65%
20-11
100%
31-0
100%
31-0
