TEXAS TECH
RED RAIDERSTTU
11-3 | Road
65
HOUSTON
COUGARSHOU
13-1 | Home
69
AI Model Win Probability
RED RAIDERS
100%
COUGARS
0%
RED RAIDERS
--
COUGARS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
163.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-29.0
HOUSTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +29.0 points (Houston)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around HOU -29.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (HOU)
TTU By 1-7 points
0.1%
TTU By 8-14 points
0.0%
HOU By 1-7 points
1.4%
HOU By 8-14 points
5.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Texas Tech
67
TEXAS TECH
Houston
96
HOUSTON
Simulated Score
Texas Tech
62
TEXAS TECH
Houston
68
HOUSTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Cougars
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Cougars
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Cougars (-8.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -29.0
D
Sim
Cougars (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o142.5
Loss
Proj Total: 163.0
D
Sim
u142.5
Win
Proj Total: 130.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 24, 2026
HOU @ TTU
86 - 90
Jan 6, 2026
TTU @ HOU
65 - 69
Feb 24, 2025
HOU @ TTU
69 - 61
Feb 1, 2025
TTU @ HOU
82 - 81
Mar 15, 2024
TTU @ HOU
59 - 82
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+51.5% more
Houston: 8.8
vs
Texas Tech: 5.8
Free Throw % (L5)
+4.1%
Houston: 78.2%
vs
Texas Tech: 74.1%
Assists (L5)
+16.7% more
Texas Tech: 16.0
vs
Houston: 13.3
Turnovers (L5)
+15.5% more
Texas Tech: 9.4
vs
Houston: 7.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
TTU Score
67.0
65
HOU Score
96.0
69
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
35.4 / 40.5
24.0 / 32.0
Assists
13.3 / 16.0
8.0 / 14.0
Blocks
2.8 / 3.2
2.0 / 5.0
Field Goal %
44.7 / 50.5
39.0 / 41.0
Free Throw %
78.2 / 74.1
77.0 / 91.0
Rebounding
34.2 / 38.8
36.0 / 35.0
Steals
8.8 / 5.8
5.0 / 4.0
Turnovers
7.9 / 9.4
6.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
TTU
23-11-0
(67.7%)
Margin: 7.2
ATS +/-: -0.2
HOU
Advantage
30-7-0
(81.1%)
Margin: 14.5
ATS +/-: +0.7
🎯 ATS (Spread)
TTU
Advantage
17-17-0
(50.0%)
Margin: 7.2
ATS +/-: -0.2
HOU
18-19-0
(48.7%)
Margin: 14.5
ATS +/-: +0.7
⚖️ Over/Under
TTU
15-19-0
O: 44.1% / U: 55.9%
Total +/-: -1.6
HOU
15-22-0
O: 40.5% / U: 59.5%
Total +/-: -0.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
HOU
TTU
HOU
TTU
ML
70%
26-11
62%
21-13
68%
23-11
71%
22-9
ATS
70%
26-11
65%
22-12
68%
23-11
71%
22-9
TTL
59%
22-15
59%
20-14
100%
34-0
100%
31-0
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