PEPPERDINE
WAVESPEPP
5-11 | Road
69
PACIFIC
TIGERSPAC
10-6 | Home
74
AI Model Win Probability
WAVES
0%
TIGERS
100%
WAVES
--
TIGERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
161.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-25.0
PEPPERDINE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +25.0 points (Pepperdine)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around PEPP -25.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PEPP)
PEPP By 1-7 points
3.3%
PEPP By 8-14 points
10.7%
PAC By 1-7 points
0.5%
PAC By 8-14 points
0.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Pepperdine
93
PEPPERDINE
Pacific
68
PACIFIC
Simulated Score
Pepperdine
65
PEPPERDINE
Pacific
75
PACIFIC
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Waves
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Tigers
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Waves (-11.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -25.0
D
Sim
Tigers (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -10.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o138.5
Win
Proj Total: 161.0
D
Sim
u138.5
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 7, 2026
PAC @ PEPP
92 - 59
Jan 4, 2026
PEPP @ PAC
69 - 74
Jan 25, 2025
PAC @ PEPP
44 - 60
Jan 4, 2025
PEPP @ PAC
87 - 70
Mar 7, 2024
PAC @ PEPP
43 - 102
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5)
+12.3% more
Pepperdine: 15.8
vs
Pacific: 13.9
Free Throw % (L5)
+3.1%
Pepperdine: 74.1%
vs
Pacific: 71.0%
Assists (L5)
+22.9% more
Pacific: 16.9
vs
Pepperdine: 13.7
Rebounding (L5)
+18.6% more
Pacific: 38.0
vs
Pepperdine: 32.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
PEPP Score
93.0
69
PAC Score
68.0
74
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
41.4 / 29.0
45.0 / 32.0
Assists
16.9 / 13.7
14.0 / 12.0
Blocks
2.6 / 2.3
3.0 / 0.0
Field Goal %
48.3 / 39.8
53.0 / 42.0
Free Throw %
71.0 / 74.1
85.0 / 93.0
Rebounding
38.0 / 32.0
35.0 / 24.0
Steals
6.0 / 5.5
9.0 / 8.0
Turnovers
13.9 / 15.8
18.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
PEPP
9-23-0
(28.1%)
Margin: -7.3
ATS +/-: -0.6
PAC
Advantage
18-15-0
(54.6%)
Margin: 3.9
ATS +/-: +2.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
PEPP
14-16-0
(46.7%)
Margin: -7.3
ATS +/-: -0.6
PAC
Advantage
16-14-1
(53.3%)
Margin: 3.9
ATS +/-: +2.0
⚖️ Over/Under
PEPP
15-15-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: +2.4
PAC
10-19-2
O: 34.5% / U: 65.5%
Total +/-: -2.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PAC
PEPP
PAC
PEPP
ML
45%
15-18
62%
20-12
80%
24-6
69%
22-10
ATS
55%
18-15
56%
18-14
80%
24-6
69%
22-10
TTL
58%
19-14
50%
16-16
100%
30-0
100%
32-0
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