Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Pioneers @ Golden Griffins SHU @ CAN

SACRED HEART

PIONEERSSHU

5-10  |  Road

78
FINAL
Sun, Jan 4 • 12:00 PM ET
Koessler Athletic Center
View Odds Details →

CANISIUS

GOLDEN GRIFFINSCAN

6-8  |  Home

82
AI Model Win Probability
PIONEERS
0%
📊
GOLDEN GRIFFINS
100%
PIONEERS --
GOLDEN GRIFFINS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
122.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-16.0
SACRED HEART
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +16.0 points (Sacred Heart)
PioneersSHU (-3.5) 0 Golden GriffinsCAN (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Pioneers Cover

94.5%

Golden Griffins Cover

5.5%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around SHU -16.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SHU)

SHU By 1-7 points

13.7%

SHU By 8-14 points

24.3%

CAN By 1-7 points

4.0%

CAN By 8-14 points

0.8%

AI Model Projected Score
69
SACRED HEART
53
CANISIUS
Simulated Score
72
SACRED HEART
78
CANISIUS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Pioneers Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Golden Griffins Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Pioneers (+4.5) Win
Proj Spread: -16.0
D
Sim Golden Griffins (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u141.5 Loss
Proj Total: 122.0
D
Sim u141.5 Win
Proj Total: 150.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jan 22, 2026 CAN @ SHU 66 - 69
Jan 4, 2026 SHU @ CAN 78 - 82
Jan 23, 2025 SHU @ CAN 93 - 84
Jan 5, 2025 CAN @ SHU 82 - 99
Key Model Drivers
Free Throw % (L5) +12.5%
Sacred Heart: 80.6% vs Canisius: 68.1%
Rebounding (L5) +9.0% more
Sacred Heart: 37.3 vs Canisius: 33.9
Assists (L5) +21.2% more
Canisius: 15.3 vs Sacred Heart: 12.6
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +10.1%
Canisius: 40.6% vs Sacred Heart: 30.5%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
SHU Score 69.0 78
CAN Score 53.0 82
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 40.6 / 30.5 28.0 / 30.0
Assists 15.3 / 12.6 9.0 / 11.0
Blocks 2.3 / 2.2 1.0 / 0.0
Field Goal % 40.9 / 40.4 50.0 / 47.0
Free Throw % 68.1 / 80.6 84.0 / 86.0
Rebounding 33.9 / 37.3 28.0 / 26.0
Steals 5.2 / 5.2 8.0 / 7.0
Turnovers 13.4 / 13.6 11.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
71%TICKETS29%
78%MONEY22%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
52%TICKETS48%
53%MONEY47%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
65%TICKETS35%
71%MONEY29%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SHU Advantage
14-19-0 (42.4%)
Margin: -1.4 ATS +/-: -1.3
CAN
10-21-0 (32.3%)
Margin: -7.5 ATS +/-: -0.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SHU Advantage
15-17-0 (46.9%)
Margin: -1.4 ATS +/-: -1.3
CAN
13-16-0 (44.8%)
Margin: -7.5 ATS +/-: -0.5
⚖️ Over/Under
SHU
15-17-0
O: 46.9% / U: 53.1% Total +/-: +1.5
CAN
8-21-0
O: 27.6% / U: 72.4% Total +/-: -3.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CAN
SHU
CAN
SHU
ML
55% 17-14
61% 20-13
68% 21-10
73% 24-9
ATS
65% 20-11
76% 25-8
68% 21-10
73% 24-9
TTL
58% 18-13
58% 19-14
100% 31-0
100% 33-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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