AUBURN
TIGERSAUB
9-4 | Road
100
GEORGIA
BULLDOGSUGA
12-1 | Home
104
AI Model Win Probability
TIGERS
100%
BULLDOGS
0%
TIGERS
--
BULLDOGS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
178.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-50.0
GEORGIA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +50.0 points (Georgia)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around UGA -50.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UGA)
AUB By 1-7 points
0.0%
AUB By 8-14 points
0.0%
UGA By 1-7 points
0.0%
UGA By 8-14 points
0.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Auburn
64
AUBURN
Georgia
114
GEORGIA
Simulated Score
Auburn
70
AUBURN
Georgia
78
GEORGIA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Bulldogs
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Bulldogs
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Bulldogs (-6.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -50.0
D
Sim
Bulldogs (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -8.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o173.5
Win
Proj Total: 178.0
D
Sim
u173.5
Win
Proj Total: 148.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 3, 2026
AUB @ UGA
100 - 104
Feb 22, 2025
UGA @ AUB
70 - 82
Jan 18, 2025
AUB @ UGA
70 - 68
Mar 9, 2024
UGA @ AUB
78 - 92
Feb 24, 2024
AUB @ UGA
97 - 76
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+36.8% more
Georgia: 7.1
vs
Auburn: 5.2
Rebounding (L5)
+23.5% more
Georgia: 43.9
vs
Auburn: 35.5
Field Goal % (L5)
+2.0%
Georgia: 49.4%
vs
Auburn: 47.4%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+5.2%
Auburn: 40.6%
vs
Georgia: 35.3%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
AUB Score
64.0
100
UGA Score
114.0
104
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
35.3 / 40.6
38.0 / 27.0
Assists
16.1 / 16.5
11.0 / 15.0
Blocks
7.1 / 5.2
9.0 / 5.0
Field Goal %
49.4 / 47.4
52.0 / 45.0
Free Throw %
72.8 / 73.5
71.0 / 67.0
Rebounding
43.9 / 35.5
35.0 / 50.0
Steals
8.3 / 8.2
4.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
12.1 / 11.5
11.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
AUB
22-16-0
(57.9%)
Margin: 4.2
ATS +/-: -1.5
UGA
Advantage
22-11-0
(66.7%)
Margin: 9.6
ATS +/-: +0.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
AUB
15-23-0
(39.5%)
Margin: 4.2
ATS +/-: -1.5
UGA
Advantage
15-17-1
(46.9%)
Margin: 9.6
ATS +/-: +0.3
⚖️ Over/Under
AUB
22-16-0
O: 57.9% / U: 42.1%
Total +/-: +4.2
UGA
18-15-0
O: 54.6% / U: 45.5%
Total +/-: +4.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UGA
AUB
UGA
AUB
ML
67%
22-11
58%
22-16
56%
18-14
75%
24-8
ATS
61%
20-13
74%
28-10
56%
18-14
75%
24-8
TTL
64%
21-12
53%
20-18
100%
32-0
100%
32-0
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