PHILADELPHIA
FLYERSPHI
20-12-7 | Road
5
EDMONTON
OILERSEDM
20-15-6 | Home
2
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Dan Vladar
#80 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Alec Regula
#75 | Defense| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dan Vladar | None-None | 2.01 | 0.920 | -- |
| Alec Regula | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
2.01
GAA
--
0.920
Save %
--
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
FLYERS
100%
OILERS
0%
FLYERS
--
OILERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
EDMONTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Edmonton)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around EDM -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (EDM)
PHI By 1 goal
12.1%
PHI By 2-3 goals
9.3%
EDM By 1 goal
19.7%
EDM By 2-3 goals
29.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Philadelphia
3
PHILADELPHIA
Edmonton
4
EDMONTON
Simulated Score
Philadelphia
2
PHILADELPHIA
Edmonton
4
EDMONTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Oilers
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Oilers
Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Oilers (+1.5)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim
Oilers (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o6.5
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
D
Sim
u6.5
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 3, 2026
PHI @ EDM
5 - 2
Nov 12, 2025
EDM @ PHI
2 - 1
Feb 22, 2025
EDM @ PHI
3 - 6
Oct 15, 2024
PHI @ EDM
3 - 4
Jan 2, 2024
PHI @ EDM
2 - 5
Key Model Drivers
Power Play % (L5)
+44.7%
Edmonton: 47.3%
vs
Philadelphia: 2.6%
Takeaways (L5)
+34.9% more
Edmonton: 5.5
vs
Philadelphia: 4.1
Faceoff % (L5)
+3.4%
Edmonton: 52.3%
vs
Philadelphia: 48.9%
Hits (L5)
+12.9% more
Philadelphia: 21.0
vs
Edmonton: 18.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
PHI Score
3.0
5
EDM Score
4.0
2
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
16.4 / 15.9
18.0 / 15.0
Faceoff %
52.3 / 48.9
41.0 / 59.0
Hits
18.3 / 21.0
12.0 / 15.0
Power Play %
47.3 / 2.6
50.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
29.2 / 29.5
24.0 / 29.0
Takeaways
5.5 / 4.1
5.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
EDM
PHI
EDM
PHI
ML
75%
3-1
80%
4-1
50%
2-2
40%
2-3
ATS
75%
3-1
40%
2-3
25%
1-3
40%
2-3
TTL
25%
1-3
20%
1-4
25%
1-3
40%
2-3
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