KANSAS
JAYHAWKSKU
10-3 | Road
75
UCF
KNIGHTSUCF
11-1 | Home
81
AI Model Win Probability
JAYHAWKS
0%
KNIGHTS
100%
JAYHAWKS
--
KNIGHTS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
147.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-15.0
KANSAS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +15.0 points (Kansas)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around KU -15.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (KU)
KU By 1-7 points
15.3%
KU By 8-14 points
25.3%
UCF By 1-7 points
4.8%
UCF By 8-14 points
1.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Kansas
81
KANSAS
UCF
66
UCF
Simulated Score
Kansas
78
KANSAS
UCF
72
UCF
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Jayhawks
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Jayhawks
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Jayhawks (+4.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -15.0
D
Sim
Jayhawks (-0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u157.5
Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Sim
u157.5
Win
Proj Total: 150.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 3, 2026
KU @ UCF
75 - 81
Mar 12, 2025
UCF @ KU
94 - 98
Jan 28, 2025
UCF @ KU
87 - 91
Jan 5, 2025
KU @ UCF
99 - 48
Jan 10, 2024
KU @ UCF
60 - 65
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+54.4% more
Kansas: 6.0
vs
UCF: 2.7
Assists (L5)
+18.2% more
Kansas: 18.9
vs
UCF: 15.5
Free Throw % (L5)
+8.3%
Kansas: 78.9%
vs
UCF: 70.6%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+4.1%
Kansas: 40.7%
vs
UCF: 36.6%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
KU Score
81.0
75
UCF Score
66.0
81
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
36.6 / 40.7
30.0 / 35.0
Assists
15.5 / 18.9
10.0 / 11.0
Blocks
2.7 / 6.0
2.0 / 7.0
Field Goal %
49.2 / 48.9
44.0 / 43.0
Free Throw %
70.6 / 78.9
69.0 / 74.0
Rebounding
42.1 / 41.9
38.0 / 39.0
Steals
8.0 / 7.5
4.0 / 3.0
Turnovers
11.0 / 11.2
6.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
KU
Advantage
24-11-0
(68.6%)
Margin: 6.1
ATS +/-: +1.3
UCF
21-12-0
(63.6%)
Margin: 2.3
ATS +/-: +1.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
KU
Advantage
21-14-0
(60.0%)
Margin: 6.1
ATS +/-: +1.3
UCF
16-17-0
(48.5%)
Margin: 2.3
ATS +/-: +1.2
⚖️ Over/Under
KU
11-24-0
O: 31.4% / U: 68.6%
Total +/-: -4.1
UCF
13-20-0
O: 39.4% / U: 60.6%
Total +/-: +1.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UCF
KU
UCF
KU
ML
55%
18-15
57%
20-15
65%
20-11
68%
21-10
ATS
55%
18-15
49%
17-18
65%
20-11
68%
21-10
TTL
61%
20-13
60%
21-14
100%
31-0
100%
31-0
Contextual Game News
K-State vs Houston: Week 6 Showdown with Big 12 Title Implicatio…
Rutgers Men's Basketball Releases Full 2026-27 Schedule with TV …
Houston Cougars Set for Road Test Against Kansas State in Big 12…
Kansas Shakes Up Offensive Line: Amir Herring Promoted to Starti…
Kansas Basketball Secures Melvin Council Jr. for Unprecedented S…