HOUSTON
ROCKETSHOU
20-10 | Road
120
BROOKLYN
NETSBKN
10-20 | Home
96
AI Model Win Probability
ROCKETS
100%
NETS
0%
ROCKETS
--
NETS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
223.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-7.0
BROOKLYN
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +7.0 points (Brooklyn)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around BKN -7.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BKN)
HOU By 1-7 points
15.3%
HOU By 8-14 points
5.8%
BKN By 1-7 points
26.2%
BKN By 8-14 points
25.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Houston
108
HOUSTON
Brooklyn
115
BROOKLYN
Simulated Score
Houston
108
HOUSTON
Brooklyn
112
BROOKLYN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Nets
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Nets
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Nets (+12)
Loss
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Sim
Nets (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o216.5
Loss
Proj Total: 223.0
D
Sim
u216.5
Win
Proj Total: 220.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 1, 2026
HOU @ BKN
120 - 96
Oct 27, 2025
BKN @ HOU
109 - 137
Feb 4, 2025
HOU @ BKN
97 - 99
Feb 1, 2025
BKN @ HOU
110 - 98
Jan 27, 2024
HOU @ BKN
104 - 106
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+16.3% more
Brooklyn: 8.7
vs
Houston: 7.5
Free Throw % (L5)
+6.7%
Brooklyn: 81.3%
vs
Houston: 74.6%
Blocks (L5)
+39.6% more
Houston: 6.5
vs
Brooklyn: 4.0
Rebounding (L5)
+19.3% more
Houston: 48.8
vs
Brooklyn: 39.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
HOU Score
108.0
120
BKN Score
115.0
96
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
36.9 / 38.8
33.0 / 41.0
Assists
26.4 / 24.5
18.0 / 28.0
Blocks
4.0 / 6.5
2.0 / 7.0
Field Goal %
47.2 / 53.1
45.0 / 57.0
Free Throw %
81.3 / 74.6
60.0 / 78.0
Rebounding
39.4 / 48.8
27.0 / 45.0
Steals
8.7 / 7.5
12.0 / 8.0
Turnovers
16.6 / 17.2
13.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
HOU
Advantage
54-34-0
(61.4%)
Margin: 4.7
ATS +/-: -1.5
BKN
20-62-0
(24.4%)
Margin: -10.0
ATS +/-: -1.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
HOU
38-50-0
(43.2%)
Margin: 4.7
ATS +/-: -1.5
BKN
Advantage
38-43-1
(46.9%)
Margin: -10.0
ATS +/-: -1.3
⚖️ Over/Under
HOU
41-46-1
O: 47.1% / U: 52.9%
Total +/-: -0.3
BKN
37-45-0
O: 45.1% / U: 54.9%
Total +/-: -0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BKN
HOU
BKN
HOU
ML
53%
50-45
61%
69-44
59%
48-34
59%
51-35
ATS
52%
48-44-3
62%
70-43
59%
48-34
59%
51-35
TTL
57%
54-41
51%
58-55
100%
82-0
100%
86-0
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