BRADLEY
BRAVESBRAD
10-4 | Road
78
BELMONT
BRUINSBEL
12-2 | Home
88
AI Model Win Probability
BRAVES
100%
BRUINS
0%
BRAVES
--
BRUINS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
181.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-5.0
BELMONT
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +5.0 points (Belmont)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around BEL -5.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BEL)
BRAD By 1-7 points
18.6%
BRAD By 8-14 points
8.0%
BEL By 1-7 points
27.2%
BEL By 8-14 points
23.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Bradley
88
BRADLEY
Belmont
93
BELMONT
Simulated Score
Bradley
71
BRADLEY
Belmont
75
BELMONT
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Bruins
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Bruins
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Bruins (-3.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Sim
Bruins (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o153.5
Win
Proj Total: 181.0
D
Sim
u153.5
Win
Proj Total: 146.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 9, 2026
BEL @ BRAD
84 - 95
Jan 1, 2026
BRAD @ BEL
78 - 88
Feb 5, 2025
BEL @ BRAD
80 - 77
Jan 21, 2025
BRAD @ BEL
89 - 77
Jan 20, 2024
BEL @ BRAD
72 - 95
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5)
+57.7% more
Belmont: 14.4
vs
Bradley: 9.1
Assists (L5)
+39.7% more
Belmont: 18.5
vs
Bradley: 13.2
Blocks (L5)
+10.5% more
Belmont: 4.4
vs
Bradley: 4.0
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+9.7%
Belmont: 44.7%
vs
Bradley: 35.1%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
BRAD Score
88.0
78
BEL Score
93.0
88
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
44.7 / 35.1
43.0 / 41.0
Assists
18.5 / 13.2
20.0 / 13.0
Blocks
4.4 / 4.0
3.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
49.0 / 43.1
55.0 / 44.0
Free Throw %
72.4 / 76.8
73.0 / 65.0
Rebounding
39.4 / 40.4
34.0 / 31.0
Steals
5.5 / 8.5
7.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
14.4 / 9.1
16.0 / 16.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
BRAD
21-13-0
(61.8%)
Margin: 3.6
ATS +/-: -0.9
BEL
Advantage
26-6-0
(81.3%)
Margin: 10.5
ATS +/-: +2.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
BRAD
13-20-0
(39.4%)
Margin: 3.6
ATS +/-: -0.9
BEL
Advantage
17-13-1
(56.7%)
Margin: 10.5
ATS +/-: +2.2
⚖️ Over/Under
BRAD
20-13-0
O: 60.6% / U: 39.4%
Total +/-: +5.6
BEL
19-12-0
O: 61.3% / U: 38.7%
Total +/-: +4.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BEL
BRAD
BEL
BRAD
ML
47%
15-17
65%
22-12
62%
20-12
68%
23-11
ATS
56%
18-14
59%
20-14
62%
20-12
68%
23-11
TTL
44%
14-18
68%
23-11
100%
32-0
100%
34-0
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