PHILADELPHIA
FLYERSPHI
20-11-7 | Road
1
CALGARY
FLAMESCGY
17-18-4 | Home
5
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Cam York
#8 | Defense@
GOALTENDER
Dustin Wolf
#32 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cam York | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
| Dustin Wolf | None-None | 1.00 | 1.000 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
--
GAA
1.00
--
Save %
1.000
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
FLYERS
0%
FLAMES
100%
FLYERS
--
FLAMES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+1.0
CALGARY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around CGY +1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CGY)
PHI By 1 goal
19.7%
PHI By 2-3 goals
29.6%
CGY By 1 goal
12.1%
CGY By 2-3 goals
9.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Philadelphia
4
PHILADELPHIA
Calgary
3
CALGARY
Simulated Score
Philadelphia
2
PHILADELPHIA
Calgary
4
CALGARY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Flyers
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Flames
Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Flames (+1.5)
Win
Proj Goals: +1.0
D
Sim
Flames (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o5.5
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
D
Sim
u5.5
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 31, 2025
PHI @ CGY
1 - 5
Nov 2, 2025
CGY @ PHI
2 - 1
Mar 4, 2025
CGY @ PHI
6 - 3
Oct 12, 2024
PHI @ CGY
3 - 6
Jan 6, 2024
CGY @ PHI
2 - 3
Key Model Drivers
Shots on Goal (L5)
+19.4% more
Philadelphia: 31.3
vs
Calgary: 25.2
Takeaways (L5)
+55.2% more
Calgary: 4.8
vs
Philadelphia: 3.1
Hits (L5)
+14.0% more
Calgary: 22.8
vs
Philadelphia: 20.0
Power Play % (L5)
+8.1%
Calgary: 12.0%
vs
Philadelphia: 3.9%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
PHI Score
4.0
1
CGY Score
3.0
5
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
13.6 / 14.8
15.0 / 18.0
Faceoff %
51.7 / 50.6
54.5 / 45.5
Hits
22.8 / 20.0
15.0 / 23.0
Power Play %
12.0 / 3.9
66.7 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
25.2 / 31.3
25.0 / 26.0
Takeaways
4.8 / 3.1
7.0 / 6.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CGY
PHI
CGY
PHI
ML
33%
1-2
75%
3-1
33%
1-2
50%
2-2
ATS
33%
1-2
25%
1-3
33%
1-2
25%
1-3
TTL
67%
2-1
25%
1-3
0%
0-3
50%
2-2
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