AI Model Win Probability
FIGHTING CAMELS
0%
HAWKS
100%
FIGHTING CAMELS
--
HAWKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
141.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-9.0
CAMPBELL
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +9.0 points (Campbell)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around CAM -9.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CAM)
CAM By 1-7 points
24.3%
CAM By 8-14 points
26.8%
MONM By 1-7 points
12.2%
MONM By 8-14 points
4.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Campbell
75
CAMPBELL
Monmouth
66
MONMOUTH
Simulated Score
Campbell
69
CAMPBELL
Monmouth
75
MONMOUTH
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Fighting Camels
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Hawks
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Fighting Camels (-1.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -9.0
D
Sim
Hawks (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u152.5
Win
Proj Total: 141.0
D
Sim
u152.5
Win
Proj Total: 144.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 9, 2026
CAM @ MONM
64 - 74
Jan 24, 2026
MONM @ CAM
88 - 73
Dec 31, 2025
CAM @ MONM
68 - 65
Jan 18, 2025
MONM @ CAM
58 - 81
Mar 9, 2024
CAM @ MONM
67 - 90
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+345.0% more
Monmouth: 4.3
vs
Campbell: 0.9
Assists (L5)
+21.3% more
Monmouth: 15.5
vs
Campbell: 12.8
Steals (L5)
+19.3% more
Monmouth: 8.2
vs
Campbell: 6.9
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+8.6%
Monmouth: 41.0%
vs
Campbell: 32.4%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CAM Score
75.0
68
MONM Score
66.0
65
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
41.0 / 32.4
29.0 / 33.0
Assists
15.5 / 12.8
15.0 / 7.0
Blocks
4.3 / 0.9
11.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
46.2 / 44.8
42.0 / 38.0
Free Throw %
72.8 / 67.5
65.0 / 73.0
Rebounding
32.4 / 32.3
33.0 / 40.0
Steals
8.2 / 6.9
6.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
11.6 / 11.2
7.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CAM
16-18-0
(47.1%)
Margin: 1.5
ATS +/-: +0.4
MONM
Advantage
19-15-0
(55.9%)
Margin: 1.8
ATS +/-: +1.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CAM
Advantage
18-14-0
(56.3%)
Margin: 1.5
ATS +/-: +0.4
MONM
17-15-1
(53.1%)
Margin: 1.8
ATS +/-: +1.9
⚖️ Over/Under
CAM
17-14-1
O: 54.8% / U: 45.2%
Total +/-: +2.5
MONM
16-17-0
O: 48.5% / U: 51.5%
Total +/-: +0.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MONM
CAM
MONM
CAM
ML
62%
21-13
65%
22-12
64%
21-12
71%
24-10
ATS
62%
21-13
67%
22-11-1
64%
21-12
71%
24-10
TTL
59%
20-14
53%
18-16
100%
33-0
100%
34-0