SACRAMENTO
KINGSSAC
8-24 | Road
90
LA
CLIPPERSLAC
10-21 | Home
131
AI Model Win Probability
KINGS
100%
CLIPPERS
0%
KINGS
--
CLIPPERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
213.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
LA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (LA)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around LAC -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAC)
SAC By 1-7 points
24.3%
SAC By 8-14 points
13.7%
LAC By 1-7 points
26.2%
LAC By 8-14 points
16.9%
AI Model Projected Score
Sacramento
106
SACRAMENTO
LA
107
LA
Simulated Score
Sacramento
112
SACRAMENTO
LA
115
LA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Clippers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Clippers
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Clippers (+10)
Win
Proj Spread: -1.0
D
Sim
Clippers (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u218.5
Loss
Proj Total: 213.0
D
Sim
u218.5
Win
Proj Total: 227.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 5, 2026
LAC @ SAC
138 - 109
Mar 14, 2026
SAC @ LAC
118 - 109
Feb 6, 2026
LAC @ SAC
114 - 111
Dec 30, 2025
SAC @ LAC
90 - 131
Oct 15, 2025
LAC @ SAC
109 - 91
Key Model Drivers
Free Throw % (L5)
+17.5%
LA: 91.1%
vs
Sacramento: 73.6%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+9.2%
LA: 43.0%
vs
Sacramento: 33.8%
Field Goal % (L5)
+3.1%
LA: 48.8%
vs
Sacramento: 45.7%
Steals (L5)
+27.2% more
Sacramento: 12.0
vs
LA: 8.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
SAC Score
106.0
90
LAC Score
107.0
131
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
43.0 / 33.8
37.0 / 33.0
Assists
21.3 / 26.3
29.0 / 18.0
Blocks
5.2 / 5.0
9.0 / 8.0
Field Goal %
48.8 / 45.7
51.0 / 41.0
Free Throw %
91.1 / 73.6
78.0 / 93.0
Rebounding
36.7 / 44.4
42.0 / 39.0
Steals
8.7 / 12.0
13.0 / 1.0
Turnovers
14.2 / 15.2
4.0 / 19.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SAC
22-60-0
(26.8%)
Margin: -10.0
ATS +/-: -2.1
LAC
Advantage
42-41-0
(50.6%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: -0.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SAC
36-46-0
(43.9%)
Margin: -10.0
ATS +/-: -2.1
LAC
Advantage
42-41-0
(50.6%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: -0.4
⚖️ Over/Under
SAC
43-39-0
O: 52.4% / U: 47.6%
Total +/-: +0.8
LAC
41-42-0
O: 49.4% / U: 50.6%
Total +/-: +2.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LAC
SAC
LAC
SAC
ML
60%
59-40
55%
55-45
55%
45-37
61%
50-32
ATS
66%
65-33-1
54%
52-45-3
55%
45-37
61%
50-32
TTL
59%
58-40-1
58%
57-42-1
100%
82-0
100%
82-0
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