PHILADELPHIA
FLYERSPHI
19-11-7 | Road
6
VANCOUVER
CANUCKSVAN
16-19-3 | Home
3
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Dan Vladar
#80 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Thatcher Demko
#35 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dan Vladar | None-None | 3.00 | 0.914 | -- |
| Thatcher Demko | None-None | 4.08 | 0.871 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
3.00 Ldr
GAA
4.08
0.914 Ldr
Save %
0.871
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
FLYERS
100%
CANUCKS
0%
FLYERS
--
CANUCKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
3.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
VANCOUVER
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Vancouver)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around VAN -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (VAN)
PHI By 1 goal
12.1%
PHI By 2-3 goals
9.3%
VAN By 1 goal
19.7%
VAN By 2-3 goals
29.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Philadelphia
1
PHILADELPHIA
Vancouver
2
VANCOUVER
Simulated Score
Philadelphia
2
PHILADELPHIA
Vancouver
4
VANCOUVER
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Canucks
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Canucks
Loss
50% Win Prob
B
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Canucks (+1.5)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim
Canucks (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u5.5
Loss
Proj Total: 3.0
D
Sim
u5.5
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 30, 2025
PHI @ VAN
6 - 3
Dec 22, 2025
VAN @ PHI
2 - 5
Oct 19, 2024
VAN @ PHI
3 - 0
Oct 11, 2024
PHI @ VAN
3 - 2
Dec 28, 2023
PHI @ VAN
4 - 1
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5)
+42.6% more
Vancouver: 24.2
vs
Philadelphia: 16.9
Takeaways (L5)
+25.9% more
Vancouver: 4.0
vs
Philadelphia: 3.2
Faceoff % (L5)
+6.8%
Vancouver: 54.6%
vs
Philadelphia: 47.8%
Shots on Goal (L5)
+21.3% more
Philadelphia: 30.4
vs
Vancouver: 23.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
PHI Score
1.0
6
VAN Score
2.0
3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
15.1 / 14.7
16.0 / 15.0
Faceoff %
54.6 / 47.8
43.9 / 56.1
Hits
24.2 / 16.9
29.0 / 26.0
Power Play %
554.0 / 588.0
0.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
23.9 / 30.4
35.0 / 33.0
Takeaways
4.0 / 3.2
5.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
VAN
PHI
VAN
PHI
ML
50%
2-2
75%
3-1
25%
1-3
50%
2-2
ATS
25%
1-3
25%
1-3
50%
2-2
25%
1-3
TTL
50%
2-2
25%
1-3
50%
2-2
50%
2-2
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