AI Model Win Probability
OWLS
0%
49ERS
100%
OWLS
--
49ERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
177.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-23.0
TEMPLE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +23.0 points (Temple)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around TEM -23.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (TEM)
TEM By 1-7 points
4.8%
TEM By 8-14 points
13.7%
CLT By 1-7 points
0.8%
CLT By 8-14 points
0.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Temple
100
TEMPLE
Charlotte
77
CHARLOTTE
Simulated Score
Temple
68
TEMPLE
Charlotte
72
CHARLOTTE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Owls
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
49ers
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Owls (-1.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -23.0
D
Sim
49ers (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o138.5
Win
Proj Total: 177.0
D
Sim
u138.5
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 28, 2026
CLT @ TEM
80 - 76
Dec 30, 2025
TEM @ CLT
76 - 73
Feb 19, 2025
TEM @ CLT
72 - 78
Jan 29, 2025
CLT @ TEM
89 - 90
Mar 15, 2024
TEM @ CLT
58 - 54
Key Model Drivers
Field Goal % (L5)
+2.2%
Temple: 47.2%
vs
Charlotte: 45.0%
Turnovers (L5)
+42.9% more
Charlotte: 11.8
vs
Temple: 8.2
Steals (L5)
+27.5% more
Charlotte: 6.5
vs
Temple: 5.1
Blocks (L5)
+20.1% more
Charlotte: 3.9
vs
Temple: 3.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
TEM Score
100.0
76
CLT Score
77.0
73
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
36.8 / 37.3
29.0 / 50.0
Assists
13.9 / 13.5
13.0 / 11.0
Blocks
3.9 / 3.3
4.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
45.0 / 47.2
44.0 / 51.0
Free Throw %
79.8 / 76.5
86.0 / 63.0
Rebounding
35.8 / 33.0
31.0 / 26.0
Steals
6.5 / 5.1
6.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
11.8 / 8.2
11.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
TEM
16-16-0
(50.0%)
Margin: 3.2
ATS +/-: +0.1
CLT
17-17-0
(50.0%)
Margin: -1.1
ATS +/-: +0.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
TEM
14-17-0
(45.2%)
Margin: 3.2
ATS +/-: +0.1
CLT
Advantage
18-15-0
(54.6%)
Margin: -1.1
ATS +/-: +0.8
⚖️ Over/Under
TEM
17-14-0
O: 54.8% / U: 45.2%
Total +/-: -1.1
CLT
19-13-1
O: 59.4% / U: 40.6%
Total +/-: +3.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CLT
TEM
CLT
TEM
ML
62%
21-13
62%
20-12
67%
22-11
67%
20-10
ATS
68%
23-11
56%
18-14
67%
22-11
67%
20-10
TTL
65%
22-12
69%
22-10
100%
33-0
100%
30-0