Home / NBA Projections NBA / Warriors @ Wizards GS @ WSH

GOLDEN STATE

WARRIORSGS

5-1  |  Road

125
FINAL
Mon, Nov 4 • 7:15 PM ET
Capital One Arena
View Odds Details →

WASHINGTON

WIZARDSWSH

2-3  |  Home

112
AI Model Win Probability
WARRIORS
0%
📊
WIZARDS
100%
WARRIORS --
WIZARDS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
222.5
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-8.5
GOLDEN STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +8.5 points (Golden State)
WarriorsGS (-3.5) 0 WizardsWSH (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Warriors Cover

80.1%

Wizards Cover

19.9%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around GS -8.5 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (GS)

GS By 1-7 points

24.9%

GS By 8-14 points

26.5%

WSH By 1-7 points

13.0%

WSH By 8-14 points

4.4%

AI Model Projected Score
115.47
GOLDEN STATE
107.02
WASHINGTON
Simulated Score
GOLDEN STATE
WASHINGTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Warriors Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Warriors (-0) Win
Proj Spread: -8.5
D
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 222.5
D
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 27, 2026 WSH @ GS 126 - 131
Mar 16, 2026 GS @ WSH 125 - 117
Jan 18, 2025 WSH @ GS 114 - 122
Nov 4, 2024 GS @ WSH 125 - 112
Feb 27, 2024 GS @ WSH 123 - 112
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5) +11.3% more
Golden State: 29.5 vs Washington: 26.2
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +8.2%
Golden State: 41.0% vs Washington: 32.8%
Field Goal % (L5) +3.4%
Golden State: 48.7% vs Washington: 45.3%
Steals (L5) +12.8% more
Washington: 9.4 vs Golden State: 8.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
GS Score 115.5 125
WSH Score 107.0 112
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 32.8 / 41.0 23.3 / 32.4
Assists 26.2 / 29.5 29.0 / 29.0
Blocks 6.9 / 6.4 8.0 / 7.0
Field Goal % 45.3 / 48.7 43.8 / 45.4
Free Throw % 79.3 / 71.6 85.7 / 73.5
Rebounding 41.7 / 45.0 47.0 / 56.0
Steals 9.4 / 8.4 4.0 / 5.0
Turnovers 15.2 / 14.2 10.0 / 7.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
GS Advantage
38-46-0 (45.2%)
Margin: -0.7 ATS +/-: -2.0
WSH
17-65-0 (20.7%)
Margin: -12.0 ATS +/-: -1.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
GS Advantage
36-48-0 (42.9%)
Margin: -0.7 ATS +/-: -2.0
WSH
33-49-0 (40.2%)
Margin: -12.0 ATS +/-: -1.4
⚖️ Over/Under
GS
49-35-0
O: 58.3% / U: 41.7% Total +/-: +1.9
WSH
47-35-0
O: 57.3% / U: 42.7% Total +/-: +3.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WSH
GS
WSH
GS
ML
70% 112-49
55% 95-79
47% 39-44
58% 49-35
ATS
69% 111-49-1
58% 101-73
47% 39-44
58% 49-35
TTL
74% 119-41-1
77% 134-40
100% 83-0
100% 84-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Declares Himself NBA's Best Player, Shru…
bleacherreport 7 hours, 13 minutes ago
Boston Celtics' Young Wings Face Huge Opportunity After Jaylen B…
yahoo 7 hours, 20 minutes ago
Tampa Bay Rays Expected to Exercise $13 Million Club Option on Y…
si 13 hours, 33 minutes ago
Caleb Wilson's Bulls Debut: Rookie Brings Bold Talk and Mixed Re…
chicago_suntimes 20 hours, 3 minutes ago
Yaxel Lendeborg Stunned by Steve Kerr's Aggressive Demand as War…
sportingnews 1 day, 7 hours ago