AI Model Win Probability
BUCKS
100%
KNICKS
0%
BUCKS
--
KNICKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
218.2
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-9.2
NEW YORK
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +9.2 points (New York)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around NY -9.2 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NY)
MIL By 1-7 points
11.8%
MIL By 8-14 points
3.8%
NY By 1-7 points
24.0%
NY By 8-14 points
26.9%
AI Model Projected Score
Milwaukee
104.51
MILWAUKEE
New York
113.72
NEW YORK
Simulated Score
Milwaukee
MILWAUKEE
New York
NEW YORK
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Knicks
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Knicks (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -9.2
D
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 218.2
D
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 27, 2026
NY @ MIL
127 - 98
Nov 28, 2025
MIL @ NY
109 - 118
Oct 28, 2025
NY @ MIL
111 - 121
Mar 28, 2025
NY @ MIL
116 - 107
Jan 12, 2025
MIL @ NY
106 - 140
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+22.4% more
New York: 25.9
vs
Milwaukee: 21.2
Free Throw % (L5)
+7.3%
New York: 79.3%
vs
Milwaukee: 72.1%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+2.4%
New York: 42.7%
vs
Milwaukee: 40.3%
Steals (L5)
+11.9% more
Milwaukee: 8.4
vs
New York: 7.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MIL Score
104.5
94
NY Score
113.7
116
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
42.7 / 40.3
30.4 / 23.3
Assists
25.9 / 21.2
35.0 / 20.0
Blocks
4.1 / 4.2
3.0 / 5.0
Field Goal %
46.7 / 48.3
47.3 / 43.4
Free Throw %
79.3 / 72.1
84.2 / 65.2
Rebounding
41.5 / 43.6
48.0 / 41.0
Steals
7.4 / 8.4
7.0 / 1.0
Turnovers
12.8 / 13.2
11.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MIL
32-50-0
(39.0%)
Margin: -6.2
ATS +/-: -3.0
NY
Advantage
70-32-0
(68.6%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MIL
36-46-0
(43.9%)
Margin: -6.2
ATS +/-: -3.0
NY
Advantage
58-44-0
(56.9%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.5
⚖️ Over/Under
MIL
39-43-0
O: 47.6% / U: 52.4%
Total +/-: +1.4
NY
47-55-0
O: 46.1% / U: 53.9%
Total +/-: -1.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NY
MIL
NY
MIL
ML
61%
114-72
64%
61-35
56%
57-45
60%
49-32
ATS
67%
124-62
68%
65-31
56%
57-45
60%
49-32
TTL
72%
133-53
55%
53-43
100%
102-0
100%
81-0