UTAH

JAZZUTAH

3-9  |  Road

105
FINAL
Sun, Nov 17 • 9:00 PM ET
Intuit Dome
View Odds Details →

LA

CLIPPERSLAC

6-7  |  Home

116
AI Model Win Probability
JAZZ
100%
📊
CLIPPERS
0%
JAZZ --
CLIPPERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
213.3
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-5.7
LA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +5.7 points (LA)
JazzUTAH (-3.5) 0 ClippersLAC (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Jazz Cover

28.4%

Clippers Cover

71.6%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around LAC -5.7 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAC)

UTAH By 1-7 points

17.4%

UTAH By 8-14 points

7.1%

LAC By 1-7 points

27.0%

LAC By 8-14 points

23.9%

AI Model Projected Score
103.81
UTAH
109.53
LA
Simulated Score
UTAH
LA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Clippers Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Clippers (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -5.7
D
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 213.3
D
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jan 27, 2026 LAC @ UTAH 115 - 103
Jan 1, 2026 UTAH @ LAC 101 - 118
Oct 22, 2025 LAC @ UTAH 108 - 129
Feb 13, 2025 LAC @ UTAH 120 - 116
Feb 8, 2025 UTAH @ LAC 110 - 130
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +42.6% more
LA: 4.9 vs Utah: 3.5
Rebounding (L5) +19.9% more
LA: 46.5 vs Utah: 38.8
Steals (L5) +23.4% more
Utah: 9.5 vs LA: 7.3
Assists (L5) +8.1% more
Utah: 23.0 vs LA: 21.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
UTAH Score 103.8 105
LAC Score 109.5 116
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 36.7 / 39.9 27.5 / 30.0
Assists 21.1 / 23.0 30.0 / 24.0
Blocks 4.9 / 3.5 5.0 / 1.0
Field Goal % 43.5 / 48.2 48.9 / 49.4
Free Throw % 78.2 / 77.0 76.5 / 83.3
Rebounding 46.5 / 38.8 41.0 / 41.0
Steals 7.3 / 9.5 11.0 / 7.0
Turnovers 16.2 / 17.4 9.0 / 19.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UTAH
22-60-0 (26.8%)
Margin: -8.4 ATS +/-: -0.2
LAC Advantage
42-41-0 (50.6%)
Margin: 1.1 ATS +/-: -0.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UTAH
41-41-0 (50.0%)
Margin: -8.4 ATS +/-: -0.2
LAC Advantage
42-41-0 (50.6%)
Margin: 1.1 ATS +/-: -0.4
⚖️ Over/Under
UTAH
49-33-0
O: 59.8% / U: 40.2% Total +/-: +5.7
LAC
41-42-0
O: 49.4% / U: 50.6% Total +/-: +2.2