WASHINGTON
WIZARDSWSH
2-15 | Road
114
MILWAUKEE
BUCKSMIL
9-9 | Home
124
AI Model Win Probability
WIZARDS
100%
BUCKS
0%
WIZARDS
--
BUCKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
217.1
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
MILWAUKEE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Milwaukee)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around MIL -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MIL)
WSH By 1-7 points
24.2%
WSH By 8-14 points
13.7%
MIL By 1-7 points
26.2%
MIL By 8-14 points
17.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Washington
108.03
WASHINGTON
Milwaukee
109.05
MILWAUKEE
Simulated Score
Washington
WASHINGTON
Milwaukee
MILWAUKEE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Bucks
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Bucks (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -1.0
D
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 217.1
D
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 29, 2026
MIL @ WSH
99 - 109
Dec 31, 2025
WSH @ MIL
114 - 113
Dec 1, 2025
MIL @ WSH
126 - 129
Oct 22, 2025
WSH @ MIL
120 - 133
Feb 21, 2025
MIL @ WSH
104 - 101
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+65.9% more
Milwaukee: 6.6
vs
Washington: 4.0
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+16.5%
Milwaukee: 44.9%
vs
Washington: 28.4%
Field Goal % (L5)
+5.6%
Milwaukee: 48.9%
vs
Washington: 43.4%
Free Throw % (L5)
+2.7%
Milwaukee: 76.6%
vs
Washington: 73.9%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
WSH Score
108.0
114
MIL Score
109.1
124
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
44.9 / 28.4
45.7 / 28.1
Assists
24.8 / 23.1
31.0 / 24.0
Blocks
6.6 / 4.0
6.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
48.9 / 43.4
51.2 / 47.1
Free Throw %
76.6 / 73.9
80.0 / 95.8
Rebounding
44.5 / 41.9
38.0 / 41.0
Steals
6.2 / 7.7
5.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
13.9 / 17.2
12.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
WSH
17-65-0
(20.7%)
Margin: -12.0
ATS +/-: -1.4
MIL
Advantage
32-50-0
(39.0%)
Margin: -6.2
ATS +/-: -3.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
WSH
33-49-0
(40.2%)
Margin: -12.0
ATS +/-: -1.4
MIL
Advantage
36-46-0
(43.9%)
Margin: -6.2
ATS +/-: -3.0
⚖️ Over/Under
WSH
47-35-0
O: 57.3% / U: 42.7%
Total +/-: +3.3
MIL
39-43-0
O: 47.6% / U: 52.4%
Total +/-: +1.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MIL
WSH
MIL
WSH
ML
64%
61-35
70%
112-49
60%
49-32
47%
39-44
ATS
68%
65-31
69%
111-49-1
60%
49-32
47%
39-44
TTL
55%
53-43
74%
119-41-1
100%
81-0
100%
83-0
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