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CLEVELAND

CAVALIERSCLE

27-4  |  Road

113
FINAL
Mon, Dec 30 • 10:00 PM ET
Chase Center
View Odds Details →

GOLDEN STATE

WARRIORSGS

16-15  |  Home

95
AI Model Win Probability
CAVALIERS
0%
📊
WARRIORS
100%
CAVALIERS --
WARRIORS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
238.4
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.9
CLEVELAND
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.9 points (Cleveland)
CavaliersCLE (-3.5) 0 WarriorsGS (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Cavaliers Cover

65.0%

Warriors Cover

35.0%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around CLE -3.9 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CLE)

CLE By 1-7 points

27.4%

CLE By 8-14 points

21.4%

GS By 1-7 points

20.3%

GS By 8-14 points

9.5%

AI Model Projected Score
121.11
CLEVELAND
117.25
GOLDEN STATE
Simulated Score
CLEVELAND
GOLDEN STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Cavaliers Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Cavaliers (-0) Win
Proj Spread: -3.9
D
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 238.4
D
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Apr 2, 2026 CLE @ GS 118 - 111
Dec 6, 2025 GS @ CLE 99 - 94
Dec 30, 2024 CLE @ GS 113 - 95
Nov 8, 2024 GS @ CLE 117 - 136
Nov 11, 2023 CLE @ GS 118 - 110
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5) +23.0% more
Cleveland: 34.0 vs Golden State: 26.2
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +15.5%
Cleveland: 44.9% vs Golden State: 29.4%
Steals (L5) +11.8% more
Cleveland: 9.8 vs Golden State: 8.6
Field Goal % (L5) +9.9%
Cleveland: 51.7% vs Golden State: 41.8%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CLE Score 121.1 113
GS Score 117.3 95
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 29.4 / 44.9 23.7 / 38.3
Assists 26.2 / 34.0 20.0 / 25.0
Blocks 5.7 / 4.1 8.0 / 6.0
Field Goal % 41.8 / 51.7 33.3 / 45.8
Free Throw % 75.2 / 76.8 76.9 / 70.0
Rebounding 45.8 / 42.3 55.0 / 54.0
Steals 8.6 / 9.8 5.0 / 10.0
Turnovers 12.9 / 12.0 15.0 / 16.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CLE Advantage
60-40-0 (60.0%)
Margin: 2.8 ATS +/-: -2.4
GS
38-46-0 (45.2%)
Margin: -0.7 ATS +/-: -2.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CLE
40-60-0 (40.0%)
Margin: 2.8 ATS +/-: -2.4
GS Advantage
36-48-0 (42.9%)
Margin: -0.7 ATS +/-: -2.0
⚖️ Over/Under
CLE
52-48-0
O: 52.0% / U: 48.0% Total +/-: +0.9
GS
49-35-0
O: 58.3% / U: 41.7% Total +/-: +1.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
GS
CLE
GS
CLE
ML
55% 95-79
60% 69-46
58% 49-35
56% 55-44
ATS
58% 101-73
67% 75-37-3
58% 49-35
56% 55-44
TTL
77% 134-40
59% 68-47
100% 84-0
100% 99-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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