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WASHINGTON

WIZARDSWSH

6-33  |  Road

114
FINAL
Sat, Jan 18 • 8:30 PM ET
Chase Center
View Odds Details →

GOLDEN STATE

WARRIORSGS

20-20  |  Home

122
AI Model Win Probability
WIZARDS
100%
📊
WARRIORS
0%
WIZARDS --
WARRIORS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
212.9
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-7.5
GOLDEN STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +7.5 points (Golden State)
WizardsWSH (-3.5) 0 WarriorsGS (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Wizards Cover

22.6%

Warriors Cover

77.4%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around GS -7.5 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (GS)

WSH By 1-7 points

14.5%

WSH By 8-14 points

5.3%

GS By 1-7 points

25.8%

GS By 8-14 points

25.8%

AI Model Projected Score
102.67
WASHINGTON
110.18
GOLDEN STATE
Simulated Score
WASHINGTON
GOLDEN STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Warriors Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Warriors (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -7.5
D
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 212.9
D
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 27, 2026 WSH @ GS 126 - 131
Mar 16, 2026 GS @ WSH 125 - 117
Jan 18, 2025 WSH @ GS 114 - 122
Nov 4, 2024 GS @ WSH 125 - 112
Feb 27, 2024 GS @ WSH 123 - 112
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +10.5% more
Golden State: 4.6 vs Washington: 4.2
Free Throw % (L5) +5.5%
Golden State: 75.9% vs Washington: 70.5%
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +4.4%
Golden State: 38.6% vs Washington: 34.2%
Turnovers (L5) +8.2% more
Washington: 14.5 vs Golden State: 13.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
WSH Score 102.7 114
GS Score 110.2 122
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 38.6 / 34.2 34.1 / 48.9
Assists 26.1 / 25.9 24.0 / 24.0
Blocks 4.6 / 4.2 7.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 44.8 / 44.4 46.9 / 44.2
Free Throw % 75.9 / 70.5 75.0 / 69.6
Rebounding 44.8 / 42.1 55.0 / 44.0
Steals 9.4 / 9.8 6.0 / 5.0
Turnovers 13.3 / 14.5 10.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
WSH
17-65-0 (20.7%)
Margin: -12.0 ATS +/-: -1.4
GS Advantage
38-46-0 (45.2%)
Margin: -0.7 ATS +/-: -2.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
WSH
33-49-0 (40.2%)
Margin: -12.0 ATS +/-: -1.4
GS Advantage
36-48-0 (42.9%)
Margin: -0.7 ATS +/-: -2.0
⚖️ Over/Under
WSH
47-35-0
O: 57.3% / U: 42.7% Total +/-: +3.3
GS
49-35-0
O: 58.3% / U: 41.7% Total +/-: +1.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
GS
WSH
GS
WSH
ML
55% 95-79
70% 112-49
58% 49-35
47% 39-44
ATS
58% 101-73
69% 111-49-1
58% 49-35
47% 39-44
TTL
77% 134-40
74% 119-41-1
100% 84-0
100% 83-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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