UTAH
JAZZUTAH
10-34 | Road
103
GOLDEN STATE
WARRIORSGS
22-23 | Home
114
AI Model Win Probability
JAZZ
100%
WARRIORS
0%
JAZZ
--
WARRIORS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
216.5
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-5.2
GOLDEN STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +5.2 points (Golden State)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around GS -5.2 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (GS)
UTAH By 1-7 points
18.2%
UTAH By 8-14 points
7.8%
GS By 1-7 points
27.2%
GS By 8-14 points
23.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Utah
105.66
UTAH
Golden State
110.87
GOLDEN STATE
Simulated Score
Utah
UTAH
Golden State
GOLDEN STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Warriors
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Warriors (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -5.2
D
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 216.5
D
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 9, 2026
GS @ UTAH
116 - 119
Jan 28, 2026
GS @ UTAH
140 - 124
Jan 3, 2026
UTAH @ GS
114 - 123
Nov 24, 2025
UTAH @ GS
117 - 134
Feb 5, 2025
GS @ UTAH
128 - 131
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+13.5% more
Golden State: 30.6
vs
Utah: 27.0
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+6.5%
Golden State: 38.1%
vs
Utah: 31.5%
Field Goal % (L5)
+1.6%
Golden State: 44.7%
vs
Utah: 43.1%
Blocks (L5)
+22.1% more
Utah: 3.9
vs
Golden State: 3.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
UTAH Score
105.7
103
GS Score
110.9
114
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
38.1 / 31.5
34.7 / 30.8
Assists
30.6 / 27.0
29.0 / 30.0
Blocks
3.0 / 3.9
4.0 / 6.0
Field Goal %
44.7 / 43.1
39.1 / 51.3
Free Throw %
74.5 / 76.3
80.6 / 70.8
Rebounding
44.0 / 46.4
47.0 / 39.0
Steals
7.2 / 6.8
8.0 / 4.0
Turnovers
13.7 / 15.7
9.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UTAH
22-60-0
(26.8%)
Margin: -8.4
ATS +/-: -0.2
GS
Advantage
38-46-0
(45.2%)
Margin: -0.7
ATS +/-: -2.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UTAH
Advantage
41-41-0
(50.0%)
Margin: -8.4
ATS +/-: -0.2
GS
36-48-0
(42.9%)
Margin: -0.7
ATS +/-: -2.0
⚖️ Over/Under
UTAH
49-33-0
O: 59.8% / U: 40.2%
Total +/-: +5.7
GS
49-35-0
O: 58.3% / U: 41.7%
Total +/-: +1.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
GS
UTAH
GS
UTAH
ML
55%
95-79
60%
96-63
58%
49-35
48%
40-43
ATS
58%
101-73
68%
108-51
58%
49-35
48%
40-43
TTL
77%
134-40
75%
119-39-1
100%
84-0
100%
83-0
Contextual Game News
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Declares Himself NBA's Best Player, Shru…
Boston Celtics' Young Wings Face Huge Opportunity After Jaylen B…
Tampa Bay Rays Expected to Exercise $13 Million Club Option on Y…
Caleb Wilson's Bulls Debut: Rookie Brings Bold Talk and Mixed Re…
Yaxel Lendeborg Stunned by Steve Kerr's Aggressive Demand as War…