UTAH
JAZZUTAH
15-52 | Road
102
MINNESOTA
TIMBERWOLVESMIN
39-29 | Home
128
AI Model Win Probability
JAZZ
100%
TIMBERWOLVES
0%
JAZZ
--
TIMBERWOLVES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
233.5
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-10.5
MINNESOTA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +10.5 points (Minnesota)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around MIN -10.5 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MIN)
UTAH By 1-7 points
10.0%
UTAH By 8-14 points
3.0%
MIN By 1-7 points
22.4%
MIN By 8-14 points
27.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Utah
111.53
UTAH
Minnesota
121.99
MINNESOTA
Simulated Score
Utah
UTAH
Minnesota
MINNESOTA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Timberwolves
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Timberwolves (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -10.5
D
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 233.5
D
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 18, 2026
UTAH @ MIN
111 - 147
Jan 20, 2026
MIN @ UTAH
122 - 127
Nov 10, 2025
MIN @ UTAH
120 - 113
Nov 7, 2025
UTAH @ MIN
97 - 137
Apr 13, 2025
UTAH @ MIN
105 - 116
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+20.4% more
Minnesota: 29.5
vs
Utah: 24.5
Blocks (L5)
+12.8% more
Minnesota: 5.0
vs
Utah: 4.5
Field Goal % (L5)
+5.8%
Minnesota: 50.8%
vs
Utah: 45.0%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+5.7%
Minnesota: 42.9%
vs
Utah: 37.1%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
UTAH Score
111.5
102
MIN Score
122.0
128
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
42.9 / 37.1
32.6 / 31.6
Assists
29.5 / 24.5
30.0 / 23.0
Blocks
5.0 / 4.5
6.0 / 0.0
Field Goal %
50.8 / 45.0
49.5 / 43.3
Free Throw %
75.6 / 73.7
69.2 / 80.0
Rebounding
44.2 / 46.6
49.0 / 44.0
Steals
7.9 / 8.0
14.0 / 4.0
Turnovers
14.1 / 18.3
10.0 / 22.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UTAH
22-60-0
(26.8%)
Margin: -8.4
ATS +/-: -0.2
MIN
Advantage
55-39-0
(58.5%)
Margin: 2.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UTAH
Advantage
41-41-0
(50.0%)
Margin: -8.4
ATS +/-: -0.2
MIN
42-52-0
(44.7%)
Margin: 2.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
⚖️ Over/Under
UTAH
49-33-0
O: 59.8% / U: 40.2%
Total +/-: +5.7
MIN
43-51-0
O: 45.7% / U: 54.3%
Total +/-: +0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MIN
UTAH
MIN
UTAH
ML
54%
63-53
60%
96-63
54%
50-43
48%
40-43
ATS
58%
67-49
68%
108-51
54%
50-43
48%
40-43
TTL
63%
72-43-1
75%
119-39-1
100%
93-0
100%
83-0
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