AI Model Win Probability
FIGHTING CAMELS
100%
PRIDE
0%
FIGHTING CAMELS
--
PRIDE
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
167.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-25.0
HOFSTRA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +25.0 points (Hofstra)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around HOF -25.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (HOF)
CAM By 1-7 points
0.5%
CAM By 8-14 points
0.1%
HOF By 1-7 points
3.3%
HOF By 8-14 points
10.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Campbell
71
CAMPBELL
Hofstra
96
HOFSTRA
Simulated Score
Campbell
72
CAMPBELL
Hofstra
78
HOFSTRA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Pride
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Pride
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Pride (-8.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -25.0
D
Sim
Pride (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o149.5
Win
Proj Total: 167.0
D
Sim
u149.5
Win
Proj Total: 150.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 29, 2025
CAM @ HOF
72 - 86
Feb 1, 2025
HOF @ CAM
52 - 75
Jan 25, 2025
CAM @ HOF
69 - 67
Jan 13, 2024
HOF @ CAM
68 - 69
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+244.6% more
Hofstra: 4.5
vs
Campbell: 1.3
Rebounding (L5)
+18.2% more
Hofstra: 41.3
vs
Campbell: 35.0
Free Throw % (L5)
+8.5%
Hofstra: 75.6%
vs
Campbell: 67.2%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+7.2%
Hofstra: 42.8%
vs
Campbell: 35.5%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CAM Score
71.0
72
HOF Score
96.0
86
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
42.8 / 35.5
46.0 / 26.0
Assists
12.8 / 13.7
14.0 / 11.0
Blocks
4.5 / 1.3
2.0 / 0.0
Field Goal %
46.2 / 47.2
54.0 / 40.0
Free Throw %
75.6 / 67.2
68.0 / 68.0
Rebounding
41.3 / 35.0
42.0 / 27.0
Steals
4.6 / 6.3
4.0 / 8.0
Turnovers
11.2 / 13.3
14.0 / 7.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CAM
16-18-0
(47.1%)
Margin: 1.5
ATS +/-: +0.4
HOF
Advantage
24-11-0
(68.6%)
Margin: 8.7
ATS +/-: +4.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CAM
18-14-0
(56.3%)
Margin: 1.5
ATS +/-: +0.4
HOF
Advantage
21-12-0
(63.6%)
Margin: 8.7
ATS +/-: +4.0
⚖️ Over/Under
CAM
17-14-1
O: 54.8% / U: 45.2%
Total +/-: +2.5
HOF
18-15-0
O: 54.6% / U: 45.5%
Total +/-: +0.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
HOF
CAM
HOF
CAM
ML
77%
27-8
65%
22-12
71%
25-10
71%
24-10
ATS
83%
29-6
67%
22-11-1
71%
25-10
71%
24-10
TTL
51%
18-17
53%
18-16
100%
35-0
100%
34-0