PACIFIC
TIGERSPAC
9-4 | Road
54
SAN DIEGO
TOREROSUSD
5-7 | Home
66
AI Model Win Probability
TIGERS
0%
TOREROS
100%
TIGERS
--
TOREROS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
172.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-20.0
PACIFIC
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +20.0 points (Pacific)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around PAC -20.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PAC)
PAC By 1-7 points
8.0%
PAC By 8-14 points
18.6%
USD By 1-7 points
1.7%
USD By 8-14 points
0.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Pacific
96
PACIFIC
San Diego
76
SAN DIEGO
Simulated Score
Pacific
68
PACIFIC
San Diego
75
SAN DIEGO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Tigers
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Toreros
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Tigers (+2.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -20.0
D
Sim
Toreros (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o150.5
Loss
Proj Total: 172.0
D
Sim
u150.5
Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 10, 2026
USD @ PAC
70 - 77
Dec 28, 2025
PAC @ USD
54 - 66
Mar 6, 2025
USD @ PAC
81 - 77
Feb 6, 2025
USD @ PAC
69 - 71
Dec 30, 2024
PAC @ USD
65 - 75
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+17.9% more
Pacific: 17.1
vs
San Diego: 14.1
Rebounding (L5)
+16.9% more
Pacific: 36.7
vs
San Diego: 30.5
Field Goal % (L5)
+12.1%
Pacific: 53.9%
vs
San Diego: 41.9%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+3.7%
Pacific: 36.8%
vs
San Diego: 33.2%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
PAC Score
96.0
54
USD Score
76.0
66
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
33.2 / 36.8
40.0 / 18.0
Assists
14.1 / 17.1
15.0 / 15.0
Blocks
2.4 / 2.6
4.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
41.9 / 53.9
36.0 / 41.0
Free Throw %
72.9 / 63.9
75.0 / 67.0
Rebounding
30.5 / 36.7
27.0 / 39.0
Steals
8.9 / 6.1
13.0 / 2.0
Turnovers
14.2 / 15.3
8.0 / 21.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
PAC
Advantage
18-15-0
(54.6%)
Margin: 3.9
ATS +/-: +2.0
USD
12-21-0
(36.4%)
Margin: -3.4
ATS +/-: -0.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
PAC
Advantage
16-14-1
(53.3%)
Margin: 3.9
ATS +/-: +2.0
USD
16-15-0
(51.6%)
Margin: -3.4
ATS +/-: -0.5
⚖️ Over/Under
PAC
10-19-2
O: 34.5% / U: 65.5%
Total +/-: -2.0
USD
12-17-2
O: 41.4% / U: 58.6%
Total +/-: +0.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
USD
PAC
USD
PAC
ML
58%
19-14
45%
15-18
70%
23-10
80%
24-6
ATS
55%
18-15
55%
18-15
70%
23-10
80%
24-6
TTL
61%
20-13
58%
19-14
100%
33-0
100%
30-0
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