Home / NFL Projections NFL / Seahawks @ Panthers SEA @ CAR

SEATTLE

SEAHAWKSSEA

12-3  |  Road

27
FINAL
Sun, Dec 28 • 1:00 PM ET
Bank of America Stadium
View Odds Details →

CAROLINA

PANTHERSCAR

8-7  |  Home

10
Key Game
Michael Dickson
KEY GAME

Michael Dickson

#4 | Punter
@
Sam Martin
KEY GAME

Sam Martin

#6 | Punter
Player
Michael Dickson None-None
Sam Martin None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
SEAHAWKS
0%
📊
PANTHERS
100%
SEAHAWKS --
PANTHERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
31.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-11.0
SEATTLE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +11.0 points (Seattle)
SeahawksSEA (-3.5) 0 PanthersCAR (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Seahawks Cover

78.4%

Panthers Cover

21.6%

-42-28-140+14+28+42
Distribution centered around SEA -11.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SEA)

SEA By 1-6 points

14.7%

SEA By 7-13 points

19.7%

CAR By 1-6 points

10.0%

CAR By 7-13 points

6.6%

AI Model Projected Score
21
SEATTLE
10
CAROLINA
Simulated Score
23
SEATTLE
27
CAROLINA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Seahawks Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Panthers Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Seahawks (+6.5) Win
Proj Spread: -11.0
D
Sim Panthers (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u42.5 Win
Proj Total: 31.0
D
Sim u42.5 Win
Proj Total: 50.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 28, 2025 SEA @ CAR 27 - 10
Sep 24, 2023 CAR @ SEA 27 - 37
Dec 11, 2022 CAR @ SEA 30 - 24
Dec 15, 2019 SEA @ CAR 30 - 24
Nov 25, 2018 SEA @ CAR 30 - 27
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5) +14.2% more
Seattle: 1.1 vs Carolina: 0.9
Net Passing Yards (L5) +11.7% more
Seattle: 228.1 vs Carolina: 201.3
Rushing Yards (L5) +15.1% more
Carolina: 116.7 vs Seattle: 101.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
SEA Score 21.0 27
CAR Score 10.0 10
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
77%TICKETS23%
45%MONEY55%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
47%TICKETS53%
48%MONEY52%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
74%TICKETS26%
86%MONEY14%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SEA Advantage
3-1-0 (75.0%)
Margin: 8.0 ATS +/-: +2.3
CAR
2-2-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 3.0 ATS +/-: +3.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SEA
1-1-2 (50.0%)
Margin: 8.0 ATS +/-: +2.3
CAR
2-2-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 3.0 ATS +/-: +3.6
⚖️ Over/Under
SEA
2-2-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: +2.0
CAR
2-2-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: +11.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CAR
SEA
CAR
SEA
ML
25% 1-3
75% 3-1
50% 2-2
50% 2-2
ATS
75% 3-1
50% 1-1-2
75% 3-1
50% 1-1-2
TTL
75% 3-1
25% 1-3
25% 1-3
75% 3-1
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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