Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Owls @ Knights FAU @ UCF

FLORIDA ATLANTIC

OWLSFAU

8-4  |  Road

80
FINAL
Tue, Dec 23 • 2:00 PM ET
Addition Financial Arena
View Odds Details →

UCF

KNIGHTSUCF

10-1  |  Home

85
AI Model Win Probability
OWLS
0%
📊
KNIGHTS
100%
OWLS --
KNIGHTS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
197.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+1.0
UCF
Book Spread
--
Book Line
OwlsFAU (-3.5) 0 KnightsUCF (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Owls Cover

46.0%

Knights Cover

54.0%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around UCF +1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UCF)

FAU By 1-7 points

26.2%

FAU By 8-14 points

16.9%

UCF By 1-7 points

24.3%

UCF By 8-14 points

13.7%

AI Model Projected Score
99
FLORIDA ATLANTIC
98
UCF
Simulated Score
68
FLORIDA ATLANTIC
72
UCF
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Owls Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Knights Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Knights (+7.5) Win
Proj Spread: +1.0
D
Sim Knights (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o162.5 Win
Proj Total: 197.0
D
Sim u162.5 Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 23, 2025 FAU @ UCF 80 - 85
Nov 12, 2024 FAU @ UCF 94 - 100
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +26.1% more
Florida Atlantic: 4.9 vs UCF: 3.6
Turnovers (L5) +16.0% more
Florida Atlantic: 12.4 vs UCF: 10.4
Steals (L5) +34.1% more
UCF: 8.0 vs Florida Atlantic: 5.9
Rebounding (L5) +11.1% more
UCF: 42.2 vs Florida Atlantic: 38.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
FAU Score 99.0 80
UCF Score 98.0 85
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 38.9 / 36.6 32.0 / 30.0
Assists 16.2 / 16.0 14.0 / 12.0
Blocks 3.6 / 4.9 1.0 / 7.0
Field Goal % 49.3 / 47.7 49.0 / 44.0
Free Throw % 71.9 / 72.6 68.0 / 75.0
Rebounding 42.2 / 38.0 42.0 / 37.0
Steals 8.0 / 5.9 8.0 / 4.0
Turnovers 10.4 / 12.4 12.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
7%TICKETS93%
14%MONEY86%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
36%TICKETS64%
32%MONEY68%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
52%TICKETS48%
84%MONEY16%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
FAU
18-15-0 (54.6%)
Margin: 4.3 ATS +/-: +0.2
UCF Advantage
21-12-0 (63.6%)
Margin: 2.3 ATS +/-: +1.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
FAU Advantage
17-14-0 (54.8%)
Margin: 4.3 ATS +/-: +0.2
UCF
16-17-0 (48.5%)
Margin: 2.3 ATS +/-: +1.2
⚖️ Over/Under
FAU
17-14-0
O: 54.8% / U: 45.2% Total +/-: +0.2
UCF
13-20-0
O: 39.4% / U: 60.6% Total +/-: +1.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UCF
FAU
UCF
FAU
ML
55% 18-15
64% 21-12
65% 20-11
66% 21-11
ATS
55% 18-15
70% 23-10
65% 20-11
66% 21-11
TTL
61% 20-13
58% 19-14
100% 31-0
100% 32-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Rutgers Men's Basketball Releases Full 2026-27 Schedule with TV …
yahoo 1 day ago
Houston Cougars Erase 17-Point Deficit to Stun UCF in Space Game
si 4 days, 23 hours ago
Keyshawn Hall Wins Temporary Restraining Order, Cleared to Suit …
saturdaydownsouth 6 days, 6 hours ago
Rutgers Lands Four-Star Forward Brandon Woodard for 2027 Class
yahoo 1 week, 1 day ago
Houston Cougars Set Big 12 Home Opener vs UCF for Oct. 3, 11 a.m…
si 2 weeks, 2 days ago