Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Phoenix @ Fighting Camels GB @ CAM

GREEN BAY

PHOENIXGB

6-7  |  Road

79
FINAL
Tue, Dec 23 • 12:00 PM ET
John W. Pope Jr. Convocation Center
View Odds Details →

CAMPBELL

FIGHTING CAMELSCAM

5-7  |  Home

102
AI Model Win Probability
PHOENIX
0%
📊
FIGHTING CAMELS
100%
PHOENIX --
FIGHTING CAMELS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
158.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-10.0
GREEN BAY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +10.0 points (Green Bay)
PhoenixGB (-3.5) 0 Fighting CamelsCAM (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Phoenix Cover

84.1%

Fighting Camels Cover

15.9%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around GB -10.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (GB)

GB By 1-7 points

23.0%

GB By 8-14 points

27.2%

CAM By 1-7 points

10.7%

CAM By 8-14 points

3.3%

AI Model Projected Score
84
GREEN BAY
74
CAMPBELL
Simulated Score
70
GREEN BAY
77
CAMPBELL
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Phoenix Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Fighting Camels Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Phoenix (-4.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -10.0
D
Sim Fighting Camels (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o145.5 Win
Proj Total: 158.0
D
Sim u145.5 Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 23, 2025 GB @ CAM 79 - 102
Nov 30, 2024 CAM @ GB 72 - 66
Key Model Drivers
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +15.8%
Green Bay: 40.1% vs Campbell: 24.3%
Field Goal % (L5) +7.8%
Green Bay: 48.6% vs Campbell: 40.8%
Free Throw % (L5) +1.5%
Green Bay: 68.8% vs Campbell: 67.3%
Turnovers (L5) +43.7% more
Campbell: 16.0 vs Green Bay: 11.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
GB Score 84.0 79
CAM Score 74.0 102
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 24.3 / 40.1 58.0 / 36.0
Assists 13.0 / 13.1 15.0 / 9.0
Blocks 2.0 / 1.8 0.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 40.8 / 48.6 60.0 / 58.0
Free Throw % 67.3 / 68.8 67.0 / 65.0
Rebounding 37.0 / 29.6 31.0 / 24.0
Steals 6.0 / 5.5 7.0 / 2.0
Turnovers 16.0 / 11.1 8.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
25%TICKETS75%
41%MONEY59%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
51%TICKETS49%
41%MONEY59%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
39%TICKETS61%
38%MONEY62%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
GB Advantage
18-15-0 (54.6%)
Margin: 0.0 ATS +/-: +3.2
CAM
16-18-0 (47.1%)
Margin: 1.5 ATS +/-: +0.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
GB Advantage
19-12-0 (61.3%)
Margin: 0.0 ATS +/-: +3.2
CAM
18-14-0 (56.3%)
Margin: 1.5 ATS +/-: +0.4
⚖️ Over/Under
GB
16-15-0
O: 51.6% / U: 48.4% Total +/-: +2.1
CAM
17-14-1
O: 54.8% / U: 45.2% Total +/-: +2.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CAM
GB
CAM
GB
ML
65% 22-12
48% 16-17
71% 24-10
67% 22-11
ATS
67% 22-11-1
52% 17-16
71% 24-10
67% 22-11
TTL
53% 18-16
58% 19-14
100% 34-0
100% 33-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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