HOUSTON
ROCKETSHOU
17-9 | Road
108
LA
CLIPPERSLAC
7-21 | Home
128
AI Model Win Probability
ROCKETS
0%
CLIPPERS
100%
ROCKETS
--
CLIPPERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
238.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+2.0
LA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around LAC +2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAC)
HOU By 1-7 points
26.8%
HOU By 8-14 points
18.6%
LAC By 1-7 points
23.0%
LAC By 8-14 points
12.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Houston
120
HOUSTON
LA
118
LA
Simulated Score
Houston
111
HOUSTON
LA
118
LA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Rockets
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Clippers
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Clippers (+8)
Win
Proj Spread: +2.0
D
Sim
Clippers (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o219.0
Win
Proj Total: 238.0
D
Sim
u219.0
Win
Proj Total: 229.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 11, 2026
LAC @ HOU
105 - 102
Feb 10, 2026
LAC @ HOU
95 - 102
Dec 23, 2025
HOU @ LAC
108 - 128
Dec 11, 2025
LAC @ HOU
113 - 115
Apr 9, 2025
HOU @ LAC
117 - 134
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+16.0% more
Houston: 27.9
vs
LA: 23.4
Rebounding (L5)
+10.4% more
Houston: 48.5
vs
LA: 43.4
Blocks (L5)
+8.8% more
Houston: 5.4
vs
LA: 4.9
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+8.2%
Houston: 42.7%
vs
LA: 34.4%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
HOU Score
120.0
108
LAC Score
118.0
128
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
34.4 / 42.7
54.0 / 30.0
Assists
23.4 / 27.9
25.0 / 25.0
Blocks
4.9 / 5.4
4.0 / 6.0
Field Goal %
46.1 / 49.2
55.0 / 50.0
Free Throw %
83.2 / 75.8
89.0 / 72.0
Rebounding
43.4 / 48.5
34.0 / 42.0
Steals
7.9 / 7.7
7.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
19.8 / 17.5
10.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
HOU
Advantage
54-34-0
(61.4%)
Margin: 4.7
ATS +/-: -1.5
LAC
42-41-0
(50.6%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: -0.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
HOU
38-50-0
(43.2%)
Margin: 4.7
ATS +/-: -1.5
LAC
Advantage
42-41-0
(50.6%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: -0.4
⚖️ Over/Under
HOU
41-46-1
O: 47.1% / U: 52.9%
Total +/-: -0.3
LAC
41-42-0
O: 49.4% / U: 50.6%
Total +/-: +2.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LAC
HOU
LAC
HOU
ML
60%
59-40
61%
69-44
55%
45-37
59%
51-35
ATS
66%
65-33-1
62%
70-43
55%
45-37
59%
51-35
TTL
59%
58-40-1
51%
58-55
100%
82-0
100%
86-0
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