VANCOUVER
CANUCKSVAN
15-17-3 | Road
2
PHILADELPHIA
FLYERSPHI
17-10-7 | Home
5
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Thatcher Demko
#35 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Dan Vladar
#80 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thatcher Demko | None-None | 4.09 | 0.895 | -- |
| Dan Vladar | None-None | 2.00 | 0.920 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
4.09
GAA
Ldr 2.00
0.895
Save %
Ldr 0.920
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
CANUCKS
0%
FLYERS
100%
CANUCKS
--
FLYERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.0
VANCOUVER
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.0 points (Vancouver)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around VAN -3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (VAN)
VAN By 1 goal
12.1%
VAN By 2-3 goals
37.2%
PHI By 1 goal
2.8%
PHI By 2-3 goals
1.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Vancouver
4
VANCOUVER
Philadelphia
1
PHILADELPHIA
Simulated Score
Vancouver
2
VANCOUVER
Philadelphia
3
PHILADELPHIA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Canucks
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Flyers
Win
50% Win Prob
B
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Canucks (-1.5)
Loss
Proj Goals: -3.0
D
Sim
Flyers (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u5.5
Loss
Proj Total: 5.0
D
Sim
u5.5
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 30, 2025
PHI @ VAN
6 - 3
Dec 22, 2025
VAN @ PHI
2 - 5
Oct 19, 2024
VAN @ PHI
3 - 0
Oct 11, 2024
PHI @ VAN
3 - 2
Dec 28, 2023
PHI @ VAN
4 - 1
Key Model Drivers
Takeaways (L5)
+44.5% more
Vancouver: 4.8
vs
Philadelphia: 2.7
Power Play % (L5)
+19.3%
Vancouver: 20.6%
vs
Philadelphia: 1.3%
Blocked Shots (L5)
+16.9% more
Philadelphia: 13.8
vs
Vancouver: 11.8
Faceoff % (L5)
+5.0%
Philadelphia: 55.8%
vs
Vancouver: 50.8%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
VAN Score
4.0
2
PHI Score
1.0
5
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
13.8 / 11.8
12.0 / 18.0
Faceoff %
55.8 / 50.8
42.1 / 57.9
Hits
23.1 / 21.5
14.0 / 33.0
Power Play %
127.0 / 2059.0
0.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
24.3 / 22.6
39.0 / 25.0
Takeaways
2.7 / 4.8
1.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PHI
VAN
PHI
VAN
ML
75%
3-1
50%
2-2
50%
2-2
25%
1-3
ATS
25%
1-3
25%
1-3
25%
1-3
50%
2-2
TTL
25%
1-3
50%
2-2
50%
2-2
50%
2-2
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