Home / NCAAF Projections NCAAF / Ole Miss @ Georgia MISS @ UGA

OLE MISS

OLE MISSMISS

12-1  |  Road

39
FINAL
Thu, Jan 1 • 8:00 PM ET
Caesars Superdome
View Odds Details →

GEORGIA

GEORGIAUGA

12-1  |  Home

34
AI Model Win Probability
OLE MISS
100%
📊
GEORGIA
0%
OLE MISS --
GEORGIA --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
65.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.0
GEORGIA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.0 points (Georgia)
Ole MissMISS (-3.5) 0 GeorgiaUGA (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Ole Miss Cover

41.5%

Georgia Cover

58.5%

+42+28+140-14-28-42
Distribution centered around UGA -3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UGA)

MISS By 1-6 points

15.3%

MISS By 7-13 points

12.9%

UGA By 1-6 points

17.0%

UGA By 7-13 points

17.5%

AI Model Projected Score
31
OLE MISS
34
GEORGIA
Simulated Score
24
OLE MISS
31
GEORGIA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement 👑 Top Selection
AI Georgia Loss
0% Win Prob
B
Sim Georgia Loss
50% Win Prob
B
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement 👑 Top Selection
AI Georgia (+6) Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
B
Sim Georgia (+6) Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus 👑 Top Selection
AI o53.5 Win
Proj Total: 65.0
B
Sim o53.5 Win
Proj Total: 55.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jan 1, 2026 MISS @ UGA 39 - 34
Oct 18, 2025 MISS @ UGA 35 - 43
Nov 9, 2024 UGA @ MISS 10 - 28
Nov 11, 2023 MISS @ UGA 17 - 52
Sep 24, 2016 UGA @ MISS 14 - 45
Key Model Drivers
Total Yards (L5) +31.8% more
Ole Miss: 511.1 vs Georgia: 348.7
First Downs (L5) +23.6% more
Ole Miss: 27.8 vs Georgia: 21.3
Turnovers (L5) +14.0% more
Ole Miss: 0.8 vs Georgia: 0.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
MISS Score 31.0 39
UGA Score 34.0 34
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
28%TICKETS72%
28%MONEY72%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
24%TICKETS76%
22%MONEY78%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
62%TICKETS38%
68%MONEY32%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MISS
3-1-0 (75.0%)
Margin: 4.8 ATS +/-: -6.1
UGA Advantage
5-0-0 (100.0%)
Margin: 38.0 ATS +/-: +7.7
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MISS
1-3-0 (25.0%)
Margin: 4.8 ATS +/-: -6.1
UGA Advantage
4-1-0 (80.0%)
Margin: 38.0 ATS +/-: +7.7
⚖️ Over/Under
MISS
2-2-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: +8.3
UGA
5-0-0
O: 100.0% / U: 0.0% Total +/-: +12.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UGA
MISS
UGA
MISS
ML
100% 4-0
75% 3-1
80% 4-1
100% 4-0
ATS
50% 2-2
50% 2-2
20% 1-4
50% 2-2
TTL
75% 3-1
50% 2-2
60% 3-2
50% 2-2
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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