NICHOLLS
COLONELSNICH
3-7 | Road
82
PACIFIC
TIGERSPAC
8-4 | Home
95
AI Model Win Probability
COLONELS
0%
TIGERS
100%
COLONELS
--
TIGERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
152.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-22.0
NICHOLLS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +22.0 points (Nicholls)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around NICH -22.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NICH)
NICH By 1-7 points
5.8%
NICH By 8-14 points
15.3%
PAC By 1-7 points
1.1%
PAC By 8-14 points
0.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Nicholls
87
NICHOLLS
Pacific
65
PACIFIC
Simulated Score
Nicholls
68
NICHOLLS
Pacific
72
PACIFIC
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Colonels
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Tigers
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Colonels (-8.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -22.0
D
Sim
Tigers (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o139.5
Win
Proj Total: 152.0
D
Sim
u139.5
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 21, 2025
NICH @ PAC
82 - 95
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+48.2% more
Nicholls: 12.0
vs
Pacific: 6.2
Free Throw % (L5)
+15.2%
Nicholls: 70.5%
vs
Pacific: 55.3%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+4.9%
Nicholls: 38.1%
vs
Pacific: 33.2%
Blocks (L5)
+161.1% more
Pacific: 3.4
vs
Nicholls: 1.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
NICH Score
87.0
82
PAC Score
65.0
95
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
33.2 / 38.1
44.0 / 42.0
Assists
17.7 / 15.2
16.0 / 14.0
Blocks
3.4 / 1.3
1.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
46.4 / 46.5
69.0 / 56.0
Free Throw %
55.3 / 70.5
81.0 / 52.0
Rebounding
38.6 / 35.2
33.0 / 21.0
Steals
6.2 / 12.0
6.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
13.9 / 9.2
18.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NICH
14-19-0
(42.4%)
Margin: -2.5
ATS +/-: -0.3
PAC
Advantage
18-15-0
(54.6%)
Margin: 3.9
ATS +/-: +2.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NICH
15-17-0
(46.9%)
Margin: -2.5
ATS +/-: -0.3
PAC
Advantage
16-14-1
(53.3%)
Margin: 3.9
ATS +/-: +2.0
⚖️ Over/Under
NICH
17-15-0
O: 53.1% / U: 46.9%
Total +/-: +1.4
PAC
10-19-2
O: 34.5% / U: 65.5%
Total +/-: -2.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PAC
NICH
PAC
NICH
ML
45%
15-18
53%
17-15
80%
24-6
68%
19-9
ATS
55%
18-15
47%
15-17
80%
24-6
68%
19-9
TTL
58%
19-14
56%
18-14
100%
30-0
100%
28-0
Contextual Game News
Big Ten Commissioner Tony Petitti Denies Any Expansion Talks Ami…
Clemson's Brad Brownell Reveals New Identity, Injury Updates at …
Tyrese Haliburton Set to Make Emotional Return to Iowa State as …
Miami's Bye Week Blueprint: Top Games to Scout for Week 6
Houston Cougars Erase 17-Point Deficit to Stun UCF in Space Game