Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Fighting Camels @ Golden Gophers CAM @ MINN

CAMPBELL

FIGHTING CAMELSCAM

5-6  |  Road

50
FINAL
Sun, Dec 21 • 6:00 PM ET
Williams Arena
View Odds Details →

MINNESOTA

GOLDEN GOPHERSMINN

6-5  |  Home

78
AI Model Win Probability
FIGHTING CAMELS
0%
📊
GOLDEN GOPHERS
100%
FIGHTING CAMELS --
GOLDEN GOPHERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
147.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+11.0
MINNESOTA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Fighting CamelsCAM (-3.5) 0 Golden GophersMINN (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Fighting Camels Cover

13.6%

Golden Gophers Cover

86.4%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around MINN +11.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MINN)

CAM By 1-7 points

21.6%

CAM By 8-14 points

27.4%

MINN By 1-7 points

9.3%

MINN By 8-14 points

2.7%

AI Model Projected Score
79
CAMPBELL
68
MINNESOTA
Simulated Score
65
CAMPBELL
78
MINNESOTA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Fighting Camels Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Golden Gophers Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Golden Gophers (+14.5) Win
Proj Spread: +11.0
D
Sim Golden Gophers (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o144.5 Loss
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Sim u144.5 Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 21, 2025 CAM @ MINN 50 - 78
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5) +25.7% more
Campbell: 15.5 vs Minnesota: 11.5
Rebounding (L5) +20.3% more
Campbell: 41.9 vs Minnesota: 33.4
Assists (L5) +28.8% more
Minnesota: 19.3 vs Campbell: 15.0
Free Throw % (L5) +9.3%
Minnesota: 70.7% vs Campbell: 61.4%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CAM Score 79.0 50
MINN Score 68.0 78
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 35.7 / 27.0 50.0 / 19.0
Assists 19.3 / 15.0 26.0 / 9.0
Blocks 2.4 / 2.4 5.0 / 1.0
Field Goal % 45.1 / 43.7 58.0 / 35.0
Free Throw % 70.7 / 61.4 89.0 / 79.0
Rebounding 33.4 / 41.9 28.0 / 27.0
Steals 7.2 / 7.0 14.0 / 4.0
Turnovers 11.5 / 15.5 11.0 / 17.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
4%TICKETS96%
47%MONEY53%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
30%TICKETS70%
43%MONEY57%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
61%TICKETS39%
93%MONEY7%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CAM Advantage
16-18-0 (47.1%)
Margin: 1.5 ATS +/-: +0.4
MINN
15-18-0 (45.5%)
Margin: 0.9 ATS +/-: -1.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CAM Advantage
18-14-0 (56.3%)
Margin: 1.5 ATS +/-: +0.4
MINN
14-18-1 (43.8%)
Margin: 0.9 ATS +/-: -1.1
⚖️ Over/Under
CAM
17-14-1
O: 54.8% / U: 45.2% Total +/-: +2.5
MINN
13-20-0
O: 39.4% / U: 60.6% Total +/-: -3.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MINN
CAM
MINN
CAM
ML
48% 16-17
65% 22-12
71% 22-9
71% 24-10
ATS
55% 18-15
67% 22-11-1
71% 22-9
71% 24-10
TTL
52% 17-16
53% 18-16
100% 31-0
100% 34-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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