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FLORIDA GULF COAST

EAGLESFGCU

5-6  |  Road

80
FINAL
Sat, Dec 20 • 5:00 PM ET
Addition Financial Arena
View Odds Details →

UCF

KNIGHTSUCF

9-1  |  Home

102
AI Model Win Probability
EAGLES
100%
📊
KNIGHTS
0%
EAGLES --
KNIGHTS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
119.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-53.0
UCF
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +53.0 points (UCF)
EaglesFGCU (-3.5) 0 KnightsUCF (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Eagles Cover

0.0%

Knights Cover

100.0%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around UCF -53.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UCF)

FGCU By 1-7 points

0.0%

FGCU By 8-14 points

0.0%

UCF By 1-7 points

0.0%

UCF By 8-14 points

0.0%

AI Model Projected Score
33
FLORIDA GULF COAST
86
UCF
Simulated Score
65
FLORIDA GULF COAST
78
UCF
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Knights Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Knights Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Knights (-16.5) Win
Proj Spread: -53.0
D
Sim Knights (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u160.5 Loss
Proj Total: 119.0
D
Sim u160.5 Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 20, 2025 FGCU @ UCF 80 - 102
Key Model Drivers
Rebounding (L5) +25.6% more
UCF: 42.3 vs Florida Gulf Coast: 33.7
Blocks (L5) +22.0% more
UCF: 3.4 vs Florida Gulf Coast: 2.8
Field Goal % (L5) +4.9%
UCF: 48.0% vs Florida Gulf Coast: 43.1%
Free Throw % (L5) +4.1%
UCF: 78.9% vs Florida Gulf Coast: 74.8%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
FGCU Score 33.0 80
UCF Score 86.0 102
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 31.4 / 31.3 54.0 / 56.0
Assists 15.3 / 14.4 18.0 / 16.0
Blocks 3.4 / 2.8 4.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 48.0 / 43.1 52.0 / 51.0
Free Throw % 78.9 / 74.8 58.0 / 60.0
Rebounding 42.3 / 33.7 42.0 / 25.0
Steals 6.4 / 10.6 11.0 / 5.0
Turnovers 10.6 / 13.2 10.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
3%TICKETS97%
25%MONEY75%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
29%TICKETS71%
30%MONEY70%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
50%TICKETS50%
90%MONEY10%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
FGCU
16-18-0 (47.1%)
Margin: 1.0 ATS +/-: -1.6
UCF Advantage
21-12-0 (63.6%)
Margin: 2.3 ATS +/-: +1.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
FGCU
9-22-1 (29.0%)
Margin: 1.0 ATS +/-: -1.6
UCF Advantage
16-17-0 (48.5%)
Margin: 2.3 ATS +/-: +1.2
⚖️ Over/Under
FGCU
15-17-0
O: 46.9% / U: 53.1% Total +/-: +1.3
UCF
13-20-0
O: 39.4% / U: 60.6% Total +/-: +1.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UCF
FGCU
UCF
FGCU
ML
55% 18-15
58% 19-14
65% 20-11
67% 22-11
ATS
55% 18-15
61% 20-13
65% 20-11
67% 22-11
TTL
61% 20-13
61% 20-13
100% 31-0
100% 33-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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