Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Braves @ Sycamores BRAD @ INST

BRADLEY

BRAVESBRAD

7-4  |  Road

108
FINAL
Thu, Dec 18 • 7:00 PM ET
Hulman Center
View Odds Details →

INDIANA STATE

SYCAMORESINST

7-4  |  Home

99
AI Model Win Probability
BRAVES
0%
📊
SYCAMORES
100%
BRAVES --
SYCAMORES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
143.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+3.0
INDIANA STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
BravesBRAD (-3.5) 0 SycamoresINST (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Braves Cover

38.2%

Sycamores Cover

61.8%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around INST +3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (INST)

BRAD By 1-7 points

27.2%

BRAD By 8-14 points

20.1%

INST By 1-7 points

21.6%

INST By 8-14 points

10.7%

AI Model Projected Score
73
BRADLEY
70
INDIANA STATE
Simulated Score
73
BRADLEY
78
INDIANA STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Braves Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Sycamores Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Sycamores (+4.5) Win
Proj Spread: +3.0
D
Sim Sycamores (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u150.5 Loss
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Sim u150.5 Win
Proj Total: 151.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jan 21, 2026 INST @ BRAD 68 - 75
Dec 18, 2025 BRAD @ INST 108 - 99
Jan 15, 2025 INST @ BRAD 65 - 118
Jan 1, 2025 BRAD @ INST 90 - 89
Jan 27, 2024 BRAD @ INST 86 - 95
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +52.4% more
Bradley: 12.6 vs Indiana State: 6.0
Blocks (L5) +44.7% more
Bradley: 3.8 vs Indiana State: 2.1
Assists (L5) +39.5% more
Indiana State: 19.1 vs Bradley: 13.7
Turnovers (L5) +32.7% more
Indiana State: 13.2 vs Bradley: 10.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
BRAD Score 73.0 108
INST Score 70.0 99
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 33.1 / 33.4 34.0 / 32.0
Assists 19.1 / 13.7 18.0 / 13.0
Blocks 2.1 / 3.8 7.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 50.9 / 45.9 40.0 / 45.0
Free Throw % 75.0 / 69.0 70.0 / 63.0
Rebounding 37.3 / 34.9 49.0 / 55.0
Steals 6.0 / 12.6 5.0 / 7.0
Turnovers 13.2 / 10.0 14.0 / 8.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
70%TICKETS30%
70%MONEY30%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
51%TICKETS49%
68%MONEY32%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
50%TICKETS50%
44%MONEY56%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
BRAD Advantage
21-13-0 (61.8%)
Margin: 3.6 ATS +/-: -0.9
INST
11-21-0 (34.4%)
Margin: -0.9 ATS +/-: +0.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
BRAD
13-20-0 (39.4%)
Margin: 3.6 ATS +/-: -0.9
INST Advantage
17-12-1 (58.6%)
Margin: -0.9 ATS +/-: +0.5
⚖️ Over/Under
BRAD
20-13-0
O: 60.6% / U: 39.4% Total +/-: +5.6
INST
13-17-0
O: 43.3% / U: 56.7% Total +/-: -3.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
INST
BRAD
INST
BRAD
ML
66% 21-11
65% 22-12
53% 17-15
68% 23-11
ATS
62% 20-12
59% 20-14
53% 17-15
68% 23-11
TTL
53% 17-15
68% 23-11
100% 32-0
100% 34-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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