Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Pride @ Knights HOF @ UCF

HOFSTRA

PRIDEHOF

0-0  |  Road

78
FINAL
Mon, Nov 3 • 8:50 PM ET
Addition Financial Arena
View Odds Details →

UCF

KNIGHTSUCF

0-0  |  Home

82
AI Model Win Probability
PRIDE
100%
📊
KNIGHTS
0%
PRIDE --
KNIGHTS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
134.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-6.0
UCF
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +6.0 points (UCF)
PrideHOF (-3.5) 0 KnightsUCF (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Pride Cover

27.4%

Knights Cover

72.6%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around UCF -6.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UCF)

HOF By 1-7 points

16.9%

HOF By 8-14 points

6.8%

UCF By 1-7 points

26.8%

UCF By 8-14 points

24.3%

AI Model Projected Score
64
HOFSTRA
70
UCF
Simulated Score
68
HOFSTRA
75
UCF
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Knights Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Knights Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Knights (+9.5) Win
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Sim Knights (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u140.5 Loss
Proj Total: 134.0
D
Sim u140.5 Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 3, 2025 HOF @ UCF 78 - 82
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +24.3% more
UCF: 4.1 vs Hofstra: 3.3
Free Throw % (L5) +16.3%
UCF: 78.2% vs Hofstra: 61.9%
Field Goal % (L5) +3.0%
UCF: 44.1% vs Hofstra: 41.2%
Assists (L5) +14.0% more
Hofstra: 14.1 vs UCF: 12.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
HOF Score 64.0 78
UCF Score 70.0 82
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 33.5 / 38.1 40.0 / 23.0
Assists 12.1 / 14.1 16.0 / 16.0
Blocks 4.1 / 3.3 3.0 / 4.0
Field Goal % 44.1 / 41.2 46.0 / 42.0
Free Throw % 78.2 / 61.9 61.0 / 88.0
Rebounding 38.6 / 39.7 40.0 / 31.0
Steals 6.2 / 6.4 2.0 / 7.0
Turnovers 10.3 / 10.3 16.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
4%TICKETS96%
21%MONEY79%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
20%TICKETS80%
44%MONEY56%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
64%TICKETS36%
34%MONEY66%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
HOF Advantage
24-11-0 (68.6%)
Margin: 8.7 ATS +/-: +4.0
UCF
21-12-0 (63.6%)
Margin: 2.3 ATS +/-: +1.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
HOF Advantage
21-12-0 (63.6%)
Margin: 8.7 ATS +/-: +4.0
UCF
16-17-0 (48.5%)
Margin: 2.3 ATS +/-: +1.2
⚖️ Over/Under
HOF
18-15-0
O: 54.6% / U: 45.5% Total +/-: +0.2
UCF
13-20-0
O: 39.4% / U: 60.6% Total +/-: +1.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UCF
HOF
UCF
HOF
ML
55% 18-15
77% 27-8
65% 20-11
71% 25-10
ATS
55% 18-15
83% 29-6
65% 20-11
71% 25-10
TTL
61% 20-13
51% 18-17
100% 31-0
100% 35-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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