PACIFIC
TIGERSPAC
18-15 | Road
68
JACKSONVILLE
DOLPHINSJAX
12-20 | Home
53
AI Model Win Probability
TIGERS
100%
DOLPHINS
0%
TIGERS
--
DOLPHINS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
116.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-16.0
JACKSONVILLE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +16.0 points (Jacksonville)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around JAX -16.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (JAX)
PAC By 1-7 points
4.0%
PAC By 8-14 points
0.8%
JAX By 1-7 points
13.7%
JAX By 8-14 points
24.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Pacific
50
PACIFIC
Jacksonville
66
JACKSONVILLE
Simulated Score
Pacific
68
PACIFIC
Jacksonville
72
JACKSONVILLE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Dolphins
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Dolphins
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Dolphins (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -16.0
D
Sim
Dolphins (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 116.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 25, 2025
PAC @ JAX
68 - 53
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+20.4% more
Jacksonville: 6.7
vs
Pacific: 5.6
Assists (L5)
+15.4% more
Jacksonville: 12.3
vs
Pacific: 10.6
Blocks (L5)
+8.9% more
Jacksonville: 2.3
vs
Pacific: 2.1
Free Throw % (L5)
+13.7%
Pacific: 77.9%
vs
Jacksonville: 64.2%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
PAC Score
50.0
68
JAX Score
66.0
53
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
29.8 / 40.3
14.0 / 19.0
Assists
12.3 / 10.6
7.0 / 10.0
Blocks
2.3 / 2.1
1.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
44.9 / 53.2
37.0 / 40.0
Free Throw %
64.2 / 77.9
72.0 / 74.0
Rebounding
36.1 / 35.7
24.0 / 48.0
Steals
6.7 / 5.6
5.0 / 4.0
Turnovers
13.9 / 14.6
8.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
PAC
Advantage
18-15-0
(54.6%)
Margin: 3.9
ATS +/-: +2.0
JAX
12-20-0
(37.5%)
Margin: -0.3
ATS +/-: -1.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
PAC
Advantage
16-14-1
(53.3%)
Margin: 3.9
ATS +/-: +2.0
JAX
12-18-0
(40.0%)
Margin: -0.3
ATS +/-: -1.3
⚖️ Over/Under
PAC
10-19-2
O: 34.5% / U: 65.5%
Total +/-: -2.0
JAX
12-18-0
O: 40.0% / U: 60.0%
Total +/-: +1.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
JAX
PAC
JAX
PAC
ML
74%
23-8
45%
15-18
60%
18-12
80%
24-6
ATS
65%
20-11
55%
18-15
61%
19-12
80%
24-6
TTL
65%
20-11
58%
19-14
100%
31-0
100%
30-0
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