OREGON
DUCKSORE
12-20 | Road
66
CREIGHTON
BLUEJAYSCREI
16-18 | Home
76
AI Model Win Probability
DUCKS
100%
BLUEJAYS
0%
DUCKS
--
BLUEJAYS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
161.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-25.0
CREIGHTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +25.0 points (Creighton)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around CREI -25.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CREI)
ORE By 1-7 points
0.5%
ORE By 8-14 points
0.1%
CREI By 1-7 points
3.3%
CREI By 8-14 points
10.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Oregon
68
OREGON
Creighton
93
CREIGHTON
Simulated Score
Oregon
72
OREGON
Creighton
78
CREIGHTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Bluejays
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Bluejays
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Bluejays (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -25.0
D
Sim
Bluejays (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 161.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 150.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 27, 2025
ORE @ CREI
66 - 76
Mar 23, 2024
ORE @ CREI
73 - 86
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+16.8% more
Creighton: 5.7
vs
Oregon: 4.9
Assists (L5)
+10.8% more
Creighton: 16.2
vs
Oregon: 14.6
Field Goal % (L5)
+1.8%
Creighton: 43.0%
vs
Oregon: 41.2%
Free Throw % (L5)
+7.4%
Oregon: 75.7%
vs
Creighton: 68.3%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
ORE Score
68.0
66
CREI Score
93.0
76
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
33.1 / 35.7
29.0 / 7.0
Assists
16.2 / 14.6
15.0 / 14.0
Blocks
2.6 / 2.8
2.0 / 8.0
Field Goal %
43.0 / 41.2
44.0 / 42.0
Free Throw %
68.3 / 75.7
90.0 / 64.0
Rebounding
36.2 / 36.4
33.0 / 44.0
Steals
5.7 / 4.9
4.0 / 3.0
Turnovers
13.7 / 13.6
5.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ORE
12-20-0
(37.5%)
Margin: -3.1
ATS +/-: -2.5
CREI
Advantage
16-18-0
(47.1%)
Margin: 0.0
ATS +/-: -2.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ORE
Advantage
12-20-0
(37.5%)
Margin: -3.1
ATS +/-: -2.5
CREI
11-22-1
(33.3%)
Margin: 0.0
ATS +/-: -2.9
⚖️ Over/Under
ORE
14-18-0
O: 43.8% / U: 56.3%
Total +/-: -1.3
CREI
16-18-0
O: 47.1% / U: 52.9%
Total +/-: +0.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CREI
ORE
CREI
ORE
ML
52%
17-16
56%
18-14
70%
21-9
62%
18-11
ATS
58%
19-14
56%
18-14
70%
21-9
62%
18-11
TTL
52%
17-16
59%
19-13
100%
30-0
100%
29-0
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