ST. ELIZABETH
EAGLESSTE
0-0 | Road
58
FAIRLEIGH DICKINSON
KNIGHTSFDU
1-4 | Home
100
AI Model Win Probability
EAGLES
100%
KNIGHTS
0%
EAGLES
--
KNIGHTS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
91.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-19.0
FAIRLEIGH DICKINSON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +19.0 points (Fairleigh Dickinson)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around FDU -19.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (FDU)
STE By 1-7 points
2.2%
STE By 8-14 points
0.4%
FDU By 1-7 points
9.3%
FDU By 8-14 points
20.1%
AI Model Projected Score
St. Elizabeth
36
ST. ELIZABETH
Fairleigh Dickinson
55
FAIRLEIGH DICKINSON
Simulated Score
St. Elizabeth
54
ST. ELIZABETH
Fairleigh Dickinson
98
FAIRLEIGH DICKINSON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Knights
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Knights
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Knights (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -19.0
D
Sim
Knights (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -44.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 91.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 152.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 18, 2025
STE @ FDU
58 - 100
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+126.8% more
Fairleigh Dickinson: 11.7
vs
St. Elizabeth: 5.1
Rebounding (L5)
+12.1% more
Fairleigh Dickinson: 33.8
vs
St. Elizabeth: 30.1
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+8.3%
Fairleigh Dickinson: 30.4%
vs
St. Elizabeth: 22.1%
Free Throw % (L5)
+7.4%
Fairleigh Dickinson: 67.2%
vs
St. Elizabeth: 59.8%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
STE Score
36.0
58
FDU Score
55.0
100
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
30.4 / 22.1
39.0 / 27.0
Assists
11.7 / 5.1
18.0 / 7.0
Blocks
1.9 / 1.9
3.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
38.1 / 31.2
51.0 / 34.0
Free Throw %
67.2 / 59.8
78.0 / 67.0
Rebounding
33.8 / 30.1
58.0 / 18.0
Steals
4.7 / 7.9
3.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
12.3 / 24.1
14.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
STE
--
FDU
Advantage
11-21-0
(34.4%)
Margin: -3.0
ATS +/-: -1.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
STE
--
FDU
Advantage
10-18-1
(35.7%)
Margin: -3.0
ATS +/-: -1.6
⚖️ Over/Under
STE
--
FDU
9-20-0
O: 31.0% / U: 69.0%
Total +/-: -2.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
FDU
STE
FDU
STE
ML
65%
20-11
100%
1-0
74%
23-8
100%
1-0
ATS
68%
21-10
100%
1-0
74%
23-8
100%
1-0
TTL
58%
18-13
100%
1-0
100%
31-0
100%
1-0
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