Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Fighting Camels @ Bulldogs CAM @ GONZ

CAMPBELL

FIGHTING CAMELSCAM

5-5  |  Road

70
FINAL
Wed, Dec 17 • 9:00 PM ET
McCarthey Athletic Center
View Odds Details →

GONZAGA

BULLDOGSGONZ

10-1  |  Home

98
AI Model Win Probability
FIGHTING CAMELS
100%
📊
BULLDOGS
0%
FIGHTING CAMELS --
BULLDOGS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
81.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-9.0
GONZAGA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +9.0 points (Gonzaga)
Fighting CamelsCAM (-3.5) 0 BulldogsGONZ (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Fighting Camels Cover

18.4%

Bulldogs Cover

81.6%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around GONZ -9.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (GONZ)

CAM By 1-7 points

12.2%

CAM By 8-14 points

4.0%

GONZ By 1-7 points

24.3%

GONZ By 8-14 points

26.8%

AI Model Projected Score
36
CAMPBELL
45
GONZAGA
Simulated Score
60
CAMPBELL
85
GONZAGA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Bulldogs Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Bulldogs Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Bulldogs (+36.5) Win
Proj Spread: -9.0
D
Sim Bulldogs (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -25.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u160.5 Loss
Proj Total: 81.0
D
Sim u160.5 Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 17, 2025 CAM @ GONZ 70 - 98
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +33.3% more
Gonzaga: 8.0 vs Campbell: 6.0
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +12.0%
Gonzaga: 41.4% vs Campbell: 29.4%
Free Throw % (L5) +8.5%
Gonzaga: 69.1% vs Campbell: 60.6%
Field Goal % (L5) +7.2%
Gonzaga: 52.8% vs Campbell: 45.6%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CAM Score 36.0 70
GONZ Score 45.0 98
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 41.4 / 29.4 45.0 / 22.0
Assists 19.5 / 18.5 23.0 / 8.0
Blocks 2.4 / 3.6 6.0 / 0.0
Field Goal % 52.8 / 45.6 58.0 / 40.0
Free Throw % 69.1 / 60.6 71.0 / 63.0
Rebounding 41.3 / 46.9 44.0 / 32.0
Steals 8.0 / 6.0 12.0 / 9.0
Turnovers 9.9 / 13.3 15.0 / 20.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
16%TICKETS84%
12%MONEY88%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
54%TICKETS46%
51%MONEY49%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CAM
16-18-0 (47.1%)
Margin: 1.5 ATS +/-: +0.4
GONZ Advantage
31-4-0 (88.6%)
Margin: 18.1 ATS +/-: +0.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CAM Advantage
18-14-0 (56.3%)
Margin: 1.5 ATS +/-: +0.4
GONZ
18-17-0 (51.4%)
Margin: 18.1 ATS +/-: +0.3
⚖️ Over/Under
CAM
17-14-1
O: 54.8% / U: 45.2% Total +/-: +2.5
GONZ
10-25-0
O: 28.6% / U: 71.4% Total +/-: -5.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
GONZ
CAM
GONZ
CAM
ML
71% 25-10
65% 22-12
69% 20-9
71% 24-10
ATS
69% 24-11
67% 22-11-1
69% 20-9
71% 24-10
TTL
57% 20-15
53% 18-16
100% 29-0
100% 34-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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