Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Pioneers @ Cougars TUS @ COFC

TUSCULUM

PIONEERSTUS

0-0  |  Road

58
FINAL
Mon, Nov 3 • 7:00 PM ET
TD Arena
View Odds Details →

CHARLESTON

COUGARSCOFC

1-0  |  Home

79
AI Model Win Probability
PIONEERS
100%
📊
COUGARS
0%
PIONEERS --
COUGARS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
136.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-20.0
CHARLESTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +20.0 points (Charleston)
PioneersTUS (-3.5) 0 CougarsCOFC (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Pioneers Cover

2.3%

Cougars Cover

97.7%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around COFC -20.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (COFC)

TUS By 1-7 points

1.7%

TUS By 8-14 points

0.3%

COFC By 1-7 points

8.0%

COFC By 8-14 points

18.6%

AI Model Projected Score
58
TUSCULUM
78
CHARLESTON
Simulated Score
61
TUSCULUM
88
CHARLESTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Cougars Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Cougars Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Cougars (+13) Win
Proj Spread: -20.0
D
Sim Cougars (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -27.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u137.0 Push
Proj Total: 136.0
D
Sim u137.0 Win
Proj Total: 149.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 3, 2025 TUS @ COFC 58 - 79
Dec 3, 2024 TUS @ COFC 71 - 94
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5) +41.1% more
Charleston: 15.3 vs Tusculum: 10.8
Rebounding (L5) +24.4% more
Charleston: 36.8 vs Tusculum: 29.5
Blocks (L5) +13.6% more
Charleston: 2.9 vs Tusculum: 2.6
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +12.5%
Charleston: 38.3% vs Tusculum: 25.8%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
TUS Score 58.0 58
COFC Score 78.0 79
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 38.3 / 25.8 4.0 / 24.0
Assists 15.3 / 10.8 13.0 / 7.0
Blocks 2.9 / 2.6 1.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 44.5 / 36.7 40.0 / 32.0
Free Throw % 66.1 / 70.9 62.0 / 73.0
Rebounding 36.8 / 29.5 51.0 / 47.0
Steals 6.1 / 6.5 5.0 / 3.0
Turnovers 11.4 / 15.0 5.0 / 18.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
TUS
--
COFC Advantage
21-11-0 (65.6%)
Margin: 2.0 ATS +/-: -0.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
TUS
--
COFC Advantage
19-12-0 (61.3%)
Margin: 2.0 ATS +/-: -0.6
⚖️ Over/Under
TUS
--
COFC
13-18-0
O: 41.9% / U: 58.1% Total +/-: -1.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
COFC
TUS
COFC
TUS
ML
66% 19-10
50% 1-1
62% 18-11
100% 2-0
ATS
59% 17-12
50% 1-1
62% 18-11
100% 2-0
TTL
68% 19-9-1
100% 1-0-1
100% 29-0
100% 2-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
K-State vs Houston: Week 6 Showdown with Big 12 Title Implicatio…
si 5 hours, 55 minutes ago
Houston Cougars Set for Road Test Against Kansas State in Big 12…
si 1 day, 5 hours ago
Week 7 High School Football Picks: Mater Dei Faces JSerra, Chami…
si 1 day, 18 hours ago
Houston Cougars Erase 17-Point Deficit to Stun UCF in Space Game
si 4 days, 23 hours ago
Houston Cougars Set for Nationally Televised Road Battle at Kans…
headtopics 1 week ago