UNION (KY)
BULLDOGSUC
0-0 | Road
39
CHATTANOOGA
MOCSUTC
1-0 | Home
92
AI Model Win Probability
BULLDOGS
100%
MOCS
0%
BULLDOGS
--
MOCS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
103.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-11.0
CHATTANOOGA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +11.0 points (Chattanooga)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around UTC -11.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UTC)
UC By 1-7 points
9.3%
UC By 8-14 points
2.7%
UTC By 1-7 points
21.6%
UTC By 8-14 points
27.4%
AI Model Projected Score
Union (KY)
46
UNION (KY)
Chattanooga
57
CHATTANOOGA
Simulated Score
Union (KY)
57
UNION (KY)
Chattanooga
91
CHATTANOOGA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Mocs
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Mocs
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Mocs (+10.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -11.0
D
Sim
Mocs (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -34.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u150.5
Win
Proj Total: 103.0
D
Sim
u150.5
Win
Proj Total: 148.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 3, 2025
UC @ UTC
39 - 92
Key Model Drivers
No driver metrics compiled for this game.
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
UC Score
46.0
39
UTC Score
57.0
92
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
36.9 / 0.0
38.0 / 9.0
Assists
18.3 / 0.0
26.0 / 3.0
Blocks
1.9 / 0.0
5.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
45.3 / 0.0
44.0 / 27.0
Free Throw %
73.3 / 0.0
56.0 / 38.0
Rebounding
34.3 / 0.0
54.0 / 38.0
Steals
7.1 / 0.0
11.0 / 3.0
Turnovers
7.9 / 0.0
7.0 / 17.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UC
--
UTC
Advantage
13-19-0
(40.6%)
Margin: 1.4
ATS +/-: -3.7
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UC
--
UTC
Advantage
12-17-0
(41.4%)
Margin: 1.4
ATS +/-: -3.7
⚖️ Over/Under
UC
--
UTC
16-13-0
O: 55.2% / U: 44.8%
Total +/-: +2.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UTC
UC
UTC
UC
ML
48%
15-16
100%
1-0
53%
16-14
100%
1-0
ATS
52%
16-15
100%
1-0
55%
17-14
100%
1-0
TTL
77%
24-7
100%
1-0
100%
31-0
100%
1-0
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