Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Rattlers @ Knights FAMU @ UCF

FLORIDA A&M

RATTLERSFAMU

0-3  |  Road

60
FINAL
Tue, Nov 11 • 7:00 PM ET
Addition Financial Arena
View Odds Details →

UCF

KNIGHTSUCF

2-1  |  Home

97
AI Model Win Probability
RATTLERS
0%
📊
KNIGHTS
100%
RATTLERS --
KNIGHTS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
177.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-27.0
FLORIDA A&M
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +27.0 points (Florida A&M)
RattlersFAMU (-3.5) 0 KnightsUCF (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Rattlers Cover

99.7%

Knights Cover

0.3%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around FAMU -27.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (FAMU)

FAMU By 1-7 points

2.2%

FAMU By 8-14 points

8.0%

UCF By 1-7 points

0.3%

UCF By 8-14 points

0.0%

AI Model Projected Score
102
FLORIDA A&M
75
UCF
Simulated Score
56
FLORIDA A&M
78
UCF
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Rattlers Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Knights Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Rattlers (-8.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -27.0
D
Sim Knights (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -22.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o161.5 Loss
Proj Total: 177.0
D
Sim u161.5 Win
Proj Total: 134.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 11, 2025 FAMU @ UCF 60 - 97
Dec 21, 2023 FAMU @ UCF 56 - 69
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +56.1% more
Florida A&M: 7.3 vs UCF: 3.2
Assists (L5) +22.9% more
UCF: 14.3 vs Florida A&M: 11.6
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +16.1%
UCF: 42.5% vs Florida A&M: 26.4%
Rebounding (L5) +10.9% more
UCF: 35.7 vs Florida A&M: 32.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
FAMU Score 102.0 60
UCF Score 75.0 97
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 42.5 / 26.4 65.0 / 29.0
Assists 14.3 / 11.6 24.0 / 15.0
Blocks 2.8 / 2.8 6.0 / 6.0
Field Goal % 47.5 / 39.4 55.0 / 38.0
Free Throw % 74.6 / 71.7 75.0 / 55.0
Rebounding 35.7 / 32.2 48.0 / 24.0
Steals 3.2 / 7.3 11.0 / 11.0
Turnovers 12.1 / 12.8 16.0 / 16.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
FAMU
15-16-0 (48.4%)
Margin: -4.2 ATS +/-: +1.0
UCF Advantage
21-12-0 (63.6%)
Margin: 2.3 ATS +/-: +1.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
FAMU Advantage
16-13-0 (55.2%)
Margin: -4.2 ATS +/-: +1.0
UCF
16-17-0 (48.5%)
Margin: 2.3 ATS +/-: +1.2
⚖️ Over/Under
FAMU
11-18-0
O: 37.9% / U: 62.1% Total +/-: -1.7
UCF
13-20-0
O: 39.4% / U: 60.6% Total +/-: +1.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UCF
FAMU
UCF
FAMU
ML
55% 18-15
55% 16-13
65% 20-11
71% 17-7
ATS
55% 18-15
48% 14-15
65% 20-11
71% 17-7
TTL
61% 20-13
76% 22-7
100% 31-0
100% 24-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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