Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Mustangs @ Fighting Camels MATC @ CAM

MID-ATLANTIC CHRISTIAN

MUSTANGSMATC

0-0  |  Road

55
FINAL
Thu, Nov 13 • 7:00 PM ET
John W. Pope Jr. Convocation Center
View Odds Details →

CAMPBELL

FIGHTING CAMELSCAM

2-2  |  Home

108
AI Model Win Probability
MUSTANGS
100%
📊
FIGHTING CAMELS
0%
MUSTANGS --
FIGHTING CAMELS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
167.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-13.0
CAMPBELL
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +13.0 points (Campbell)
MustangsMATC (-3.5) 0 Fighting CamelsCAM (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Mustangs Cover

9.7%

Fighting Camels Cover

90.3%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around CAM -13.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CAM)

MATC By 1-7 points

6.8%

MATC By 8-14 points

1.7%

CAM By 1-7 points

18.6%

CAM By 8-14 points

26.8%

AI Model Projected Score
77
MID-ATLANTIC CHRISTIAN
90
CAMPBELL
Simulated Score
52
MID-ATLANTIC CHRISTIAN
95
CAMPBELL
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Fighting Camels Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Fighting Camels Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Fighting Camels (+6.5) Win
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Sim Fighting Camels (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -43.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o162.5 Win
Proj Total: 167.0
D
Sim u162.5 Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 13, 2025 MATC @ CAM 55 - 108
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +110.0% more
Campbell: 2.9 vs Mid-Atlantic Christian: 1.4
Rebounding (L5) +32.1% more
Campbell: 34.0 vs Mid-Atlantic Christian: 25.7
Assists (L5) +23.0% more
Campbell: 10.6 vs Mid-Atlantic Christian: 8.6
Free Throw % (L5) +18.1%
Campbell: 74.6% vs Mid-Atlantic Christian: 56.5%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
MATC Score 77.0 55
CAM Score 90.0 108
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 29.6 / 18.6 33.0 / 11.0
Assists 10.6 / 8.6 19.0 / 5.0
Blocks 2.9 / 1.4 6.0 / 1.0
Field Goal % 42.2 / 34.7 54.0 / 39.0
Free Throw % 74.6 / 56.5 77.0 / 33.0
Rebounding 34.0 / 25.7 55.0 / 22.0
Steals 6.9 / 7.8 10.0 / 12.0
Turnovers 13.6 / 14.8 15.0 / 16.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MATC
--
CAM Advantage
16-18-0 (47.1%)
Margin: 1.5 ATS +/-: +0.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MATC
--
CAM Advantage
18-14-0 (56.3%)
Margin: 1.5 ATS +/-: +0.4
⚖️ Over/Under
MATC
--
CAM
17-14-1
O: 54.8% / U: 45.2% Total +/-: +2.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CAM
MATC
CAM
MATC
ML
65% 22-12
75% 3-1
71% 24-10
100% 4-0
ATS
67% 22-11-1
75% 3-1
71% 24-10
100% 4-0
TTL
53% 18-16
75% 3-1
100% 34-0
100% 4-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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