UCF
KNIGHTSUCF
3-1 | Road
86
TEXAS A&M
AGGIESTA&M
2-2 | Home
74
AI Model Win Probability
KNIGHTS
0%
AGGIES
100%
KNIGHTS
--
AGGIES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
175.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-11.0
UCF
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +11.0 points (UCF)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around UCF -11.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UCF)
UCF By 1-7 points
21.6%
UCF By 8-14 points
27.4%
TA&M By 1-7 points
9.3%
TA&M By 8-14 points
2.7%
AI Model Projected Score
UCF
93
UCF
Texas A&M
82
TEXAS A&M
Simulated Score
UCF
68
UCF
Texas A&M
70
TEXAS A&M
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Knights
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Aggies
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Knights (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -11.0
D
Sim
Aggies (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 175.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 138.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 14, 2025
UCF @ TA&M
86 - 74
Nov 4, 2024
TA&M @ UCF
61 - 64
Key Model Drivers
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+19.2%
UCF: 50.0%
vs
Texas A&M: 30.8%
Assists (L5)
+11.7% more
UCF: 17.5
vs
Texas A&M: 15.5
Turnovers (L5)
+10.1% more
UCF: 13.4
vs
Texas A&M: 12.1
Field Goal % (L5)
+7.8%
UCF: 50.0%
vs
Texas A&M: 42.2%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
UCF Score
93.0
86
TA&M Score
82.0
74
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
30.8 / 50.0
31.0 / 50.0
Assists
15.5 / 17.5
15.0 / 23.0
Blocks
4.3 / 3.9
1.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
42.2 / 50.0
37.0 / 50.0
Free Throw %
73.8 / 74.8
77.0 / 94.0
Rebounding
37.9 / 39.8
32.0 / 33.0
Steals
7.8 / 5.8
8.0 / 8.0
Turnovers
12.1 / 13.4
14.0 / 16.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UCF
21-12-0
(63.6%)
Margin: 2.3
ATS +/-: +1.2
TA&M
Advantage
22-12-0
(64.7%)
Margin: 7.1
ATS +/-: +0.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UCF
16-17-0
(48.5%)
Margin: 2.3
ATS +/-: +1.2
TA&M
Advantage
19-15-0
(55.9%)
Margin: 7.1
ATS +/-: +0.6
⚖️ Over/Under
UCF
13-20-0
O: 39.4% / U: 60.6%
Total +/-: +1.2
TA&M
20-14-0
O: 58.8% / U: 41.2%
Total +/-: +2.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
TA&M
UCF
TA&M
UCF
ML
67%
20-10
55%
18-15
54%
15-13
65%
20-11
ATS
67%
20-10
55%
18-15
54%
15-13
65%
20-11
TTL
70%
21-9
61%
20-13
100%
28-0
100%
31-0
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