RIT
TIGERSRIT
0-0 | Road
64
BUFFALO
BULLSBUF
4-0 | Home
80
AI Model Win Probability
TIGERS
0%
BULLS
100%
TIGERS
--
BULLS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
128.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-12.0
RIT
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +12.0 points (RIT)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around RIT -12.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (RIT)
RIT By 1-7 points
20.1%
RIT By 8-14 points
27.2%
BUF By 1-7 points
8.0%
BUF By 8-14 points
2.2%
AI Model Projected Score
RIT
70
RIT
Buffalo
58
BUFFALO
Simulated Score
RIT
53
RIT
Buffalo
92
BUFFALO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Tigers
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Bulls
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Tigers (+8.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -12.0
D
Sim
Bulls (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -39.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u149.5
Win
Proj Total: 128.0
D
Sim
u149.5
Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 15, 2025
RIT @ BUF
64 - 80
Key Model Drivers
Free Throw % (L5)
+2.5%
RIT: 73.0%
vs
Buffalo: 70.6%
Steals (L5)
+106.7% more
Buffalo: 8.3
vs
RIT: 4.0
Assists (L5)
+27.6% more
Buffalo: 11.5
vs
RIT: 9.0
Field Goal % (L5)
+5.1%
Buffalo: 44.1%
vs
RIT: 39.0%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
RIT Score
70.0
64
BUF Score
58.0
80
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
37.6 / 33.0
33.0 / 29.0
Assists
11.5 / 9.0
14.0 / 12.0
Blocks
3.1 / 3.0
3.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
44.1 / 39.0
48.0 / 46.0
Free Throw %
70.6 / 73.0
81.0 / 69.0
Rebounding
32.6 / 32.0
34.0 / 26.0
Steals
8.3 / 4.0
10.0 / 9.0
Turnovers
10.8 / 11.0
12.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
RIT
Advantage
23-11-0
(67.7%)
Margin: 5.4
ATS +/-: -0.3
BUF
17-15-0
(53.1%)
Margin: 1.9
ATS +/-: +1.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
RIT
17-15-0
(53.1%)
Margin: 5.4
ATS +/-: -0.3
BUF
Advantage
18-12-0
(60.0%)
Margin: 1.9
ATS +/-: +1.8
⚖️ Over/Under
RIT
12-20-0
O: 37.5% / U: 62.5%
Total +/-: -6.0
BUF
16-14-0
O: 53.3% / U: 46.7%
Total +/-: +2.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BUF
RIT
BUF
RIT
ML
45%
14-17
50%
1-1
45%
14-17
100%
2-0
ATS
55%
17-14
50%
1-1
45%
14-17
100%
2-0
TTL
48%
15-16
100%
2-0
100%
31-0
100%
2-0
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