Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Yellow Jackets @ Golden Grizzlies DFC @ OAK

DEFIANCE

YELLOW JACKETSDFC

0-0  |  Road

47
FINAL
Sat, Nov 15 • 3:00 PM ET
OU Credit Union O'rena
View Odds Details →

OAKLAND

GOLDEN GRIZZLIESOAK

1-3  |  Home

113
AI Model Win Probability
YELLOW JACKETS
100%
📊
GOLDEN GRIZZLIES
0%
YELLOW JACKETS --
GOLDEN GRIZZLIES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
190.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-36.0
OAKLAND
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +36.0 points (Oakland)
Yellow JacketsDFC (-3.5) 0 Golden GrizzliesOAK (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Yellow Jackets Cover

0.0%

Golden Grizzlies Cover

100.0%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around OAK -36.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (OAK)

DFC By 1-7 points

0.0%

DFC By 8-14 points

0.0%

OAK By 1-7 points

0.2%

OAK By 8-14 points

1.4%

AI Model Projected Score
77
DEFIANCE
113
OAKLAND
Simulated Score
52
DEFIANCE
98
OAKLAND
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Golden Grizzlies Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Golden Grizzlies Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Golden Grizzlies (+8.5) Win
Proj Spread: -36.0
D
Sim Golden Grizzlies (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -46.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o149.5 Win
Proj Total: 190.0
D
Sim u149.5 Win
Proj Total: 150.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 15, 2025 DFC @ OAK 47 - 113
Nov 4, 2024 DFC @ OAK 52 - 75
Nov 7, 2022 DFC @ OAK 27 - 92
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +67.2% more
Oakland: 4.6 vs Defiance: 2.7
Assists (L5) +29.5% more
Oakland: 12.0 vs Defiance: 9.3
Rebounding (L5) +29.3% more
Oakland: 32.8 vs Defiance: 25.4
Blocks (L5) +27.3% more
Oakland: 2.1 vs Defiance: 1.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
DFC Score 77.0 47
OAK Score 113.0 113
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 31.8 / 29.9 36.0 / 20.0
Assists 12.0 / 9.3 19.0 / 7.0
Blocks 2.1 / 1.7 1.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 40.6 / 37.3 63.0 / 34.0
Free Throw % 74.7 / 65.6 71.0 / 63.0
Rebounding 32.8 / 25.4 41.0 / 26.0
Steals 4.6 / 2.7 21.0 / 8.0
Turnovers 11.6 / 21.9 11.0 / 27.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
DFC
--
OAK Advantage
16-16-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 0.9 ATS +/-: -0.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
DFC
--
OAK Advantage
17-14-0 (54.8%)
Margin: 0.9 ATS +/-: -0.1
⚖️ Over/Under
DFC
--
OAK
19-12-0
O: 61.3% / U: 38.7% Total +/-: +4.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
OAK
DFC
OAK
DFC
ML
62% 20-12
100% 1-0
59% 19-13
100% 1-0
ATS
50% 16-16
100% 1-0
59% 19-13
100% 1-0
TTL
62% 20-12
100% 1-0
100% 32-0
100% 1-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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