Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Knights @ Eagles KCU @ MORE

KENTUCKY CHRISTIAN

KNIGHTSKCU

0-0  |  Road

51
FINAL
Sun, Nov 16 • 12:30 PM ET
Ellis T. Johnson Arena
View Odds Details →

MOREHEAD STATE

EAGLESMORE

2-3  |  Home

121
AI Model Win Probability
KNIGHTS
100%
📊
EAGLES
0%
KNIGHTS --
EAGLES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
160.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-10.0
MOREHEAD STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +10.0 points (Morehead State)
KnightsKCU (-3.5) 0 EaglesMORE (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Knights Cover

15.9%

Eagles Cover

84.1%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around MORE -10.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MORE)

KCU By 1-7 points

10.7%

KCU By 8-14 points

3.3%

MORE By 1-7 points

23.0%

MORE By 8-14 points

27.2%

AI Model Projected Score
75
KENTUCKY CHRISTIAN
85
MOREHEAD STATE
Simulated Score
48
KENTUCKY CHRISTIAN
95
MOREHEAD STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Eagles Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Eagles Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Eagles (+10.5) Win
Proj Spread: -10.0
D
Sim Eagles (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -47.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u169.5 Loss
Proj Total: 160.0
D
Sim u169.5 Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 16, 2025 KCU @ MORE 51 - 121
Dec 15, 2024 KCU @ MORE 63 - 86
Nov 29, 2022 KCU @ MORE 62 - 109
Nov 15, 2021 KCU @ MORE 57 - 82
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +95.1% more
Morehead State: 3.2 vs Kentucky Christian: 1.6
Rebounding (L5) +55.6% more
Morehead State: 37.5 vs Kentucky Christian: 24.1
Field Goal % (L5) +4.7%
Morehead State: 39.2% vs Kentucky Christian: 34.4%
Free Throw % (L5) +2.6%
Morehead State: 70.9% vs Kentucky Christian: 68.3%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
KCU Score 75.0 51
MORE Score 85.0 121
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 30.3 / 29.4 38.0 / 29.0
Assists 10.8 / 10.6 32.0 / 9.0
Blocks 3.2 / 1.6 2.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 39.2 / 34.4 66.0 / 35.0
Free Throw % 70.9 / 68.3 70.0 / 69.0
Rebounding 37.5 / 24.1 45.0 / 17.0
Steals 5.4 / 8.3 19.0 / 5.0
Turnovers 13.0 / 17.1 9.0 / 26.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
KCU
--
MORE Advantage
20-13-0 (60.6%)
Margin: 0.5 ATS +/-: +0.7
🎯 ATS (Spread)
KCU
--
MORE Advantage
17-13-0 (56.7%)
Margin: 0.5 ATS +/-: +0.7
⚖️ Over/Under
KCU
--
MORE
16-14-0
O: 53.3% / U: 46.7% Total +/-: +3.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MORE
KCU
MORE
KCU
ML
62% 20-12
100% 4-0
68% 21-10
100% 4-0
ATS
59% 19-13
100% 4-0
68% 21-10
100% 4-0
TTL
53% 17-15
25% 1-3
100% 31-0
100% 4-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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