Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Dragons @ Fighting Camels UVAL @ CAM

VIRGINIA-LYNCHBURG

DRAGONSUVAL

0-0  |  Road

62
FINAL
Sun, Dec 7 • 4:00 PM ET
John W. Pope Jr. Convocation Center
View Odds Details →

CAMPBELL

FIGHTING CAMELSCAM

4-5  |  Home

149
AI Model Win Probability
DRAGONS
100%
📊
FIGHTING CAMELS
0%
DRAGONS --
FIGHTING CAMELS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
106.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-8.0
CAMPBELL
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +8.0 points (Campbell)
DragonsUVAL (-3.5) 0 Fighting CamelsCAM (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Dragons Cover

21.2%

Fighting Camels Cover

78.8%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around CAM -8.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CAM)

UVAL By 1-7 points

13.7%

UVAL By 8-14 points

4.8%

CAM By 1-7 points

25.3%

CAM By 8-14 points

26.2%

AI Model Projected Score
49
VIRGINIA-LYNCHBURG
57
CAMPBELL
Simulated Score
52
VIRGINIA-LYNCHBURG
95
CAMPBELL
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Fighting Camels Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Fighting Camels Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Fighting Camels (+9.5) Win
Proj Spread: -8.0
D
Sim Fighting Camels (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -43.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u148.0 Loss
Proj Total: 106.0
D
Sim u148.0 Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 7, 2025 UVAL @ CAM 62 - 149
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +217.0% more
Campbell: 2.7 vs Virginia-Lynchburg: 0.5
Rebounding (L5) +73.1% more
Campbell: 36.8 vs Virginia-Lynchburg: 21.3
Assists (L5) +21.9% more
Campbell: 11.3 vs Virginia-Lynchburg: 9.3
Field Goal % (L5) +11.0%
Campbell: 41.4% vs Virginia-Lynchburg: 30.4%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
UVAL Score 49.0 62
CAM Score 57.0 149
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 27.0 / 23.2 47.0 / 33.0
Assists 11.3 / 9.3 41.0 / 11.0
Blocks 2.7 / 0.5 8.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 41.4 / 30.4 64.0 / 32.0
Free Throw % 63.1 / 73.4 64.0 / 67.0
Rebounding 36.8 / 21.3 70.0 / 16.0
Steals 5.4 / 5.9 10.0 / 6.0
Turnovers 15.4 / 14.5 11.0 / 19.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UVAL
--
CAM Advantage
16-18-0 (47.1%)
Margin: 1.5 ATS +/-: +0.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UVAL
--
CAM Advantage
18-14-0 (56.3%)
Margin: 1.5 ATS +/-: +0.4
⚖️ Over/Under
UVAL
--
CAM
17-14-1
O: 54.8% / U: 45.2% Total +/-: +2.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CAM
UVAL
CAM
UVAL
ML
65% 22-12
78% 7-2
71% 24-10
100% 9-0
ATS
67% 22-11-1
78% 7-2
71% 24-10
100% 9-0
TTL
53% 18-16
44% 4-5
100% 34-0
100% 9-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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