AI Model Win Probability
RED HAWKS
100%
TIGERS
0%
RED HAWKS
--
TIGERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
176.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-62.0
PACIFIC
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +62.0 points (Pacific)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around PAC -62.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PAC)
SIMPS By 1-7 points
0.0%
SIMPS By 8-14 points
0.0%
PAC By 1-7 points
0.0%
PAC By 8-14 points
0.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Simpson University (CA)
57
SIMPSON UNIVERSITY (CA)
Pacific
119
PACIFIC
Simulated Score
Simpson University (CA)
57
SIMPSON UNIVERSITY (CA)
Pacific
93
PACIFIC
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Tigers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Tigers
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Tigers (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -62.0
D
Sim
Tigers (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -36.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 176.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 150.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 13, 2025
SIMPS @ PAC
50 - 104
Key Model Drivers
No driver metrics compiled for this game.
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
SIMPS Score
57.0
50
PAC Score
119.0
104
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
30.7 / 0.0
46.0 / 20.0
Assists
11.8 / 0.0
26.0 / 6.0
Blocks
3.2 / 0.0
3.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
44.6 / 0.0
61.0 / 36.0
Free Throw %
80.5 / 0.0
88.0 / 77.0
Rebounding
40.8 / 0.0
44.0 / 17.0
Steals
5.5 / 0.0
5.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
11.8 / 0.0
12.0 / 17.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SIMPS
--
PAC
Advantage
18-15-0
(54.6%)
Margin: 3.9
ATS +/-: +2.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SIMPS
--
PAC
Advantage
16-14-1
(53.3%)
Margin: 3.9
ATS +/-: +2.0
⚖️ Over/Under
SIMPS
--
PAC
10-19-2
O: 34.5% / U: 65.5%
Total +/-: -2.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PAC
SIMPS
PAC
SIMPS
ML
45%
15-18
100%
1-0
80%
24-6
100%
1-0
ATS
55%
18-15
100%
1-0
80%
24-6
100%
1-0
TTL
58%
19-14
100%
1-0
100%
30-0
100%
1-0